Geographical Distribution of Different Groups of Medical Staff in Iran in 2016 and the Estimates for 2026

• Main Authors: M Haji Aghajani, AA Haghdoost, S Noori Hekmat, GH Janbabaee, A Maher, AM Javadi, R Rahimisadegh, MR Rajabalipour, H Haghighi, R Dehnavieh, S Emadi
• Format: Article
• Language: fas
• Published: Tehran University of Medical Sciences 2018-03-01
• Series: مجله اپیدمیولوژی ایران
• Subjects: nurses; nursing groups; midwives; pharmacists; dentistry and general physician
• Online Access: http://irje.tums.ac.ir/article-1-5978-en.html
• ISSN: 1735-7489; 2228-7507

Background and Objectives: The imbalance between the existing human resources and future needs of the health system disturb the service delivery process. The present study aimed at determining human resources needs in the health sector for a 10-year planning program. For this purpose, the researchers examined the geographical distribution of different groups of health system staff in 2016 and 2026.   Methods: This descriptive-analytic study was carried out in 2016. The population of this study included 46 universities of medical sciences. Data of the number and distribution of health care staff working in public, private, charity, and semi-public sectors of medical departments of medical universities were collected. The Qlik View software was used for data integration and designing information dashboards.   Results: At the beginning of 2016, the ratio of nurses, nursing groups, midwives, pharmacists, dentistry and general physician per 100,000 individuals was 133, 199, 32, 17, 22, and 53 respectively, which are estimated to reach 223, 272, 37, 26, 27, and 79 in 2025, respectively. The coefficient of dispersion variation of the above was 39%, 32%, 43%, 33%, 43%, and 44% in 2016, respectively, which are estimated to reduce by 2026 if the Iran medical roadmap is implemented.   Conclusion: The high dispersion index of the medical personnel relative to the population in the cities covered by medical universities indicates unbalanced distribution. If the estimates of the Iranchr('39')s 2026 medical roadmap are implemented, more appropriate distribution of the medical staff is expected.