| Summary: | Background: Critical care populations experience demographic shifts in response to trends in population and healthcare, with increasing severity and/or complexity of illness a common observation worldwide. Inflammation in critical illness impacts glucose–insulin metabolism, and hyperglycaemia is associated with mortality and morbidity. This study examines longitudinal trends in insulin sensitivity across almost a decade of glycaemic control in a single unit. Methods: A clinically validated model of glucose–insulin dynamics is used to assess hour–hour insulin sensitivity over the first 72 h of insulin therapy. Insulin sensitivity and its hour–hour percent variability are examined over 8 calendar years alongside severity scores and diagnostics. Results: Insulin sensitivity was found to decrease by 50–55% from 2011 to 2015, and remain low from 2015 to 2018, with no concomitant trends in age, severity scores or risk of death, or diagnostic category. Insulin sensitivity variability was found to remain largely unchanged year to year and was clinically equivalent (95% confidence interval) at the median and interquartile range. Insulin resistance was associated with greater incidence of high insulin doses in the effect saturation range (6–8 U/h), with the 75th percentile of hourly insulin doses rising from 4–4.5 U/h in 2011–2014 to 6 U/h in 2015–2018. Conclusions: Increasing insulin resistance was observed alongside no change in insulin sensitivity variability, implying greater insulin needs but equivalent (variability) challenge to glycaemic control. Increasing insulin resistance may imply greater inflammation and severity of illness not captured by existing severity scores. Insulin resistance reduces glucose tolerance, and can cause greater incidence of insulin saturation and resultant hyperglycaemia. Overall, these results have significant clinical implications for glycaemic control and nutrition management.
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