Chest X-ray Score and Frailty as Predictors of In-Hospital Mortality in Older Adults with COVID-19

• Main Authors: Sara Cecchini, Mirko Di Rosa, Luca Soraci, Alessia Fumagalli, Clementina Misuraca, Daniele Colombo, Iacopo Piomboni, Francesca Carnevali, Enrico Paci, Roberta Galeazzi, Piero Giordano, Massimiliano Fedecostante, Antonio Cherubini, Fabrizia Lattanzio
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: MDPI AG 2021-07-01
• Series: Journal of Clinical Medicine
• Subjects: chest radiographic score; COVID-19 pneumonia; frailty; in-hospital mortality
• Online Access: https://www.mdpi.com/2077-0383/10/13/2965

Background. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the prognostic impact of chest X-ray (CXR) score, frailty, and clinical and laboratory data on in-hospital mortality of hospitalized older patients with COVID-19. Methods. This retrospective study included 122 patients 65 years or older with positive reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) and with availability to CXRs on admission. The primary outcome of the study was in-hospital mortality. Statistical analysis was conducted using Cox regression. The predictive ability of the CXR score was compared with the Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) and fever data using Area Under the Curve (AUC) and net reclassification improvement (NRI) statistics. Results. Of 122 patients, 67 died during hospital stay (54.9%). The CXR score (HR: 1.16, 95% CI, 1.04–1.28), CFS (HR: 1.27; 95% CI, 1.09–1.47), and presence of fever (HR: 1.75; 95% CI, 1.03–2.97) were significant predictors of in-hospital mortality. The addition of both the CFS and presence of fever to the CXR score significantly improved the prediction of in-hospital mortality (NRI, 0.460; 95% CI, 0.102 to 0.888; AUC difference: 0.117; 95% CI, 0.041 to 0.192, <i>p</i> = 0.003). Conclusions. CXR score, CFS, and presence of fever were the main predictors of in-hospital mortality in our cohort of hospitalized older patients with COVID-19. Adding frailty and presence of fever to the CXR score statistically improved predictive accuracy compared to single risk factors.