Perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan dan prediksi perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan di Kabupaten Lampung Selatan
Land cover/land use is one of factors which is important in land management. The changes of land cover can affect on the polcy in an area. Land cover/land use of South Lampung Regency is potentially changes. Economy, social, and population are factors that affect the change in land cover. The aim o...
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Bogor Agricultural University
2020-07-01
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Series: | Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management |
Online Access: | https://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jpsl/article/view/29140 |
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doaj-b76669b076f5441a89e72d74e3ff42d42020-11-25T03:49:24ZengBogor Agricultural UniversityJournal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management2086-46392460-58242020-07-0110210.29244/jpsl.10.2.234-246Perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan dan prediksi perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan di Kabupaten Lampung SelatanRakhman AdhiatmaWidiatmakaIskandar Lubis Land cover/land use is one of factors which is important in land management. The changes of land cover can affect on the polcy in an area. Land cover/land use of South Lampung Regency is potentially changes. Economy, social, and population are factors that affect the change in land cover. The aim of this research were to analyze spatial change of land cover/land use in South Lampung Regency period 2007-2019 and predicting future land cover/landuse of 2031. Analysis was carried out applying Cellular automata markov chain of land cover spatial model. The result showed that Kappa for image classification was 0.86. Dominant land cover type in South Lampung Regency was plantation field of 35.47 – 36.18%. Model validation of 2031 predicted land cover was 0.946, while The types of land cover that increase in 2031 were built up area and paddy field of 96.8% and 86.5%, respectively, while paddy fields, forest, moor, body of water, plantation, shurb were decreasing approximately 16.2, 14.9, 13, 7.7, 4.1 and 1.0%. Paddy field that had the most area of decline as prediction results of 16.2%. https://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jpsl/article/view/29140 |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Rakhman Adhiatma Widiatmaka Iskandar Lubis |
spellingShingle |
Rakhman Adhiatma Widiatmaka Iskandar Lubis Perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan dan prediksi perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan di Kabupaten Lampung Selatan Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management |
author_facet |
Rakhman Adhiatma Widiatmaka Iskandar Lubis |
author_sort |
Rakhman Adhiatma |
title |
Perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan dan prediksi perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan di Kabupaten Lampung Selatan |
title_short |
Perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan dan prediksi perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan di Kabupaten Lampung Selatan |
title_full |
Perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan dan prediksi perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan di Kabupaten Lampung Selatan |
title_fullStr |
Perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan dan prediksi perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan di Kabupaten Lampung Selatan |
title_full_unstemmed |
Perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan dan prediksi perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan di Kabupaten Lampung Selatan |
title_sort |
perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan dan prediksi perubahan penggunaan/ tutupan lahan di kabupaten lampung selatan |
publisher |
Bogor Agricultural University |
series |
Journal of Natural Resources and Environmental Management |
issn |
2086-4639 2460-5824 |
publishDate |
2020-07-01 |
description |
Land cover/land use is one of factors which is important in land management. The changes of land cover can affect on the polcy in an area. Land cover/land use of South Lampung Regency is potentially changes. Economy, social, and population are factors that affect the change in land cover. The aim of this research were to analyze spatial change of land cover/land use in South Lampung Regency period 2007-2019 and predicting future land cover/landuse of 2031. Analysis was carried out applying Cellular automata markov chain of land cover spatial model. The result showed that Kappa for image classification was 0.86. Dominant land cover type in South Lampung Regency was plantation field of 35.47 – 36.18%. Model validation of 2031 predicted land cover was 0.946, while The types of land cover that increase in 2031 were built up area and paddy field of 96.8% and 86.5%, respectively, while paddy fields, forest, moor, body of water, plantation, shurb were decreasing approximately 16.2, 14.9, 13, 7.7, 4.1 and 1.0%. Paddy field that had the most area of decline as prediction results of 16.2%.
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url |
https://journal.ipb.ac.id/index.php/jpsl/article/view/29140 |
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