Estimation and Prediction of Industrial VOC Emissions in Hebei Province, China

The study of industrial volatile organic compound (VOC) emission inventories is essential for identifying VOC emission levels and distribution. This paper established an industrial VOC emission inventory in 2015 for Hebei Province and completed an emission projection for the period 2020–2030. The re...

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Main Authors: Xiurui Guo, Yaqian Shen, Wenwen Liu, Dongsheng Chen, Junfang Liu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-04-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/5/530
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spelling doaj-c3b36960d4a544adb02451c9613b58972021-04-21T23:04:42ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332021-04-011253053010.3390/atmos12050530Estimation and Prediction of Industrial VOC Emissions in Hebei Province, ChinaXiurui Guo0Yaqian Shen1Wenwen Liu2Dongsheng Chen3Junfang Liu4College of Environmental & Energy Engineering, Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, ChinaCollege of Environmental & Energy Engineering, Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, ChinaBeijing Key Laboratory for VOCs Pollution Prevention and Treatment Technology and Application of Urban Air, National Engineering Research Center of Urban Environmental Pollution Control, Beijing Municipal Research Institute of Environmental Protection, Beijing 100037, ChinaCollege of Environmental & Energy Engineering, Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, ChinaCollege of Environmental & Energy Engineering, Key Laboratory of Beijing on Regional Air Pollution Control, Beijing University of Technology, Beijing 100124, ChinaThe study of industrial volatile organic compound (VOC) emission inventories is essential for identifying VOC emission levels and distribution. This paper established an industrial VOC emission inventory in 2015 for Hebei Province and completed an emission projection for the period 2020–2030. The results indicated that the total emissions of industrial VOCs in 2015 were 1017.79 kt. The use of VOC products accounted for more than half of the total. In addition, the spatial distribution characteristics of the industrial VOC emissions were determined using a geographic information statistics system (GIS), which showed that the VOCs were mainly distributed the central and southern regions of Hebei. Considering the future economic development trends, population changes, related environmental laws and regulations, and pollution control technology, three scenarios were defined for forecasting the industrial VOC emissions in future years. This demonstrated that industrial VOC emissions in Hebei would amount to 1448.94 kt and 2203.66 kt in 2020 and 2030, with growth rates of 42.36% and 116.51% compared with 2015, respectively. If all industrial enterprises took the control measures, the VOC emissions could be reduced by 69% in 2030. The analysis of the scenarios found that the most effective action plan was to take the best available control technologies and clean production in key industries, including the chemical medicine, coke production, mechanical equipment manufacturing, organic chemical, packaging and printing, wood adhesive, industrial and construction dye, furniture manufacturing, transportation equipment manufacturing, and crude oil processing industries.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/5/530industrial VOCsemission inventorydistributionscenario prediction
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Xiurui Guo
Yaqian Shen
Wenwen Liu
Dongsheng Chen
Junfang Liu
spellingShingle Xiurui Guo
Yaqian Shen
Wenwen Liu
Dongsheng Chen
Junfang Liu
Estimation and Prediction of Industrial VOC Emissions in Hebei Province, China
Atmosphere
industrial VOCs
emission inventory
distribution
scenario prediction
author_facet Xiurui Guo
Yaqian Shen
Wenwen Liu
Dongsheng Chen
Junfang Liu
author_sort Xiurui Guo
title Estimation and Prediction of Industrial VOC Emissions in Hebei Province, China
title_short Estimation and Prediction of Industrial VOC Emissions in Hebei Province, China
title_full Estimation and Prediction of Industrial VOC Emissions in Hebei Province, China
title_fullStr Estimation and Prediction of Industrial VOC Emissions in Hebei Province, China
title_full_unstemmed Estimation and Prediction of Industrial VOC Emissions in Hebei Province, China
title_sort estimation and prediction of industrial voc emissions in hebei province, china
publisher MDPI AG
series Atmosphere
issn 2073-4433
publishDate 2021-04-01
description The study of industrial volatile organic compound (VOC) emission inventories is essential for identifying VOC emission levels and distribution. This paper established an industrial VOC emission inventory in 2015 for Hebei Province and completed an emission projection for the period 2020–2030. The results indicated that the total emissions of industrial VOCs in 2015 were 1017.79 kt. The use of VOC products accounted for more than half of the total. In addition, the spatial distribution characteristics of the industrial VOC emissions were determined using a geographic information statistics system (GIS), which showed that the VOCs were mainly distributed the central and southern regions of Hebei. Considering the future economic development trends, population changes, related environmental laws and regulations, and pollution control technology, three scenarios were defined for forecasting the industrial VOC emissions in future years. This demonstrated that industrial VOC emissions in Hebei would amount to 1448.94 kt and 2203.66 kt in 2020 and 2030, with growth rates of 42.36% and 116.51% compared with 2015, respectively. If all industrial enterprises took the control measures, the VOC emissions could be reduced by 69% in 2030. The analysis of the scenarios found that the most effective action plan was to take the best available control technologies and clean production in key industries, including the chemical medicine, coke production, mechanical equipment manufacturing, organic chemical, packaging and printing, wood adhesive, industrial and construction dye, furniture manufacturing, transportation equipment manufacturing, and crude oil processing industries.
topic industrial VOCs
emission inventory
distribution
scenario prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/5/530
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AT dongshengchen estimationandpredictionofindustrialvocemissionsinhebeiprovincechina
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