Identifying secondary series for stepwise common singular spectrum analysis

Common singular spectrum analysis is a technique which can be used to forecast a primary time series by using the information from a secondary series. Not all secondary series, however, provide useful information. A first contribution in this paper is to point out the properties which a secondary se...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: H Viljoen, SJ Steel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Operations Research Society of South Africa (ORSSA) 2013-12-01
Series:ORiON
Online Access:http://orion.journals.ac.za/pub/article/view/134
Description
Summary:Common singular spectrum analysis is a technique which can be used to forecast a primary time series by using the information from a secondary series. Not all secondary series, however, provide useful information. A first contribution in this paper is to point out the properties which a secondary series should have in order to improve the forecast accuracy of the primary series. The second contribution is a proposal which can be used to select a secondary series from several candidate series. Empirical studies suggest that the proposal performs well.
ISSN:2224-0004