Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of China
A Bayesian geostatistical model was used to identify factors related to topographical variation in the analysis of mortality risk for children less than 5 years of age in the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in the People’s Republic of China. Epidemiological data from a standardized survey were available fr...
Main Authors: | , , , , , , , , |
---|---|
Format: | Article |
Language: | English |
Published: |
PAGEPress Publications
2012-05-01
|
Series: | Geospatial Health |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/142 |
id |
doaj-cc4a6788b8dc42ff9c96f52ed008b602 |
---|---|
record_format |
Article |
spelling |
doaj-cc4a6788b8dc42ff9c96f52ed008b6022020-11-25T03:29:33ZengPAGEPress PublicationsGeospatial Health1827-19871970-70962012-05-016224725510.4081/gh.2012.142142Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of ChinaYi Hu0Jin-Feng Wang1Xiao-Hong Li2Dan Ren3Dez-Hi Mu4Yan-Ping Wang5Chun-Mei Wen6Jun Zhu7Juan Liang8National Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance, West China Second Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu; State Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing; School of Earth and Mineral Resource, China University of Geosciences, BeijingState Key Laboratory of Resources and Environmental Information System, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, BeijingNational Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance, West China Second Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu; West China School of Public Health, Sichuan University, Chengdu; Department of Pediatrics, West China Second Hospital, Sichuan University, ChengduNational Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance, West China Second Hospital, Sichuan University, ChengduDepartment of Pediatrics, West China Second Hospital, Sichuan University, ChengduNational Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance, West China Second Hospital, Sichuan University, ChengduWorld Health Organization Representative China Office, BeijingNational Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance, West China Second Hospital, Sichuan University, ChengduNational Office for Maternal and Child Health Surveillance, West China Second Hospital, Sichuan University, ChengduA Bayesian geostatistical model was used to identify factors related to topographical variation in the analysis of mortality risk for children less than 5 years of age in the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in the People’s Republic of China. Epidemiological data from a standardized survey were available from 115 locations across the study area. Physical and demographic factors measured directly at the township level were examined with respect to risk. The geostatistical model explicitly accounted for spatial correlation present in child mortality by fitting a Gaussian linear model to the data. Results identified the role of several factors in explaining geographical heterogeneity in child mortality and show that it was significantly correlated with earthquake intensity, population density, migrant labour, and the percentage of collapsed houses.http://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/142under-five mortality, risk factors, Bayesian geostatistical model, earthquake, geographical information systems, People’s Republic of China. |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Yi Hu Jin-Feng Wang Xiao-Hong Li Dan Ren Dez-Hi Mu Yan-Ping Wang Chun-Mei Wen Jun Zhu Juan Liang |
spellingShingle |
Yi Hu Jin-Feng Wang Xiao-Hong Li Dan Ren Dez-Hi Mu Yan-Ping Wang Chun-Mei Wen Jun Zhu Juan Liang Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of China Geospatial Health under-five mortality, risk factors, Bayesian geostatistical model, earthquake, geographical information systems, People’s Republic of China. |
author_facet |
Yi Hu Jin-Feng Wang Xiao-Hong Li Dan Ren Dez-Hi Mu Yan-Ping Wang Chun-Mei Wen Jun Zhu Juan Liang |
author_sort |
Yi Hu |
title |
Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of China |
title_short |
Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of China |
title_full |
Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of China |
title_fullStr |
Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of China |
title_full_unstemmed |
Application of Bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in Wenchuan, People’s Republic of China |
title_sort |
application of bayesian geostatistical modeling for the assessment of risk for child mortality during the 2008 earthquake in wenchuan, people’s republic of china |
publisher |
PAGEPress Publications |
series |
Geospatial Health |
issn |
1827-1987 1970-7096 |
publishDate |
2012-05-01 |
description |
A Bayesian geostatistical model was used to identify factors related to topographical variation in the analysis of mortality risk for children less than 5 years of age in the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake in the People’s Republic of China. Epidemiological data from a standardized survey were available from 115 locations across the study area. Physical and demographic factors measured directly at the township level were examined with respect to risk. The geostatistical model explicitly accounted for spatial correlation present in child mortality by fitting a Gaussian linear model to the data. Results identified the role of several factors in explaining geographical heterogeneity in child mortality and show that it was significantly correlated with earthquake intensity, population density, migrant labour, and the percentage of collapsed houses. |
topic |
under-five mortality, risk factors, Bayesian geostatistical model, earthquake, geographical information systems, People’s Republic of China. |
url |
http://www.geospatialhealth.net/index.php/gh/article/view/142 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT yihu applicationofbayesiangeostatisticalmodelingfortheassessmentofriskforchildmortalityduringthe2008earthquakeinwenchuanpeoplesrepublicofchina AT jinfengwang applicationofbayesiangeostatisticalmodelingfortheassessmentofriskforchildmortalityduringthe2008earthquakeinwenchuanpeoplesrepublicofchina AT xiaohongli applicationofbayesiangeostatisticalmodelingfortheassessmentofriskforchildmortalityduringthe2008earthquakeinwenchuanpeoplesrepublicofchina AT danren applicationofbayesiangeostatisticalmodelingfortheassessmentofriskforchildmortalityduringthe2008earthquakeinwenchuanpeoplesrepublicofchina AT dezhimu applicationofbayesiangeostatisticalmodelingfortheassessmentofriskforchildmortalityduringthe2008earthquakeinwenchuanpeoplesrepublicofchina AT yanpingwang applicationofbayesiangeostatisticalmodelingfortheassessmentofriskforchildmortalityduringthe2008earthquakeinwenchuanpeoplesrepublicofchina AT chunmeiwen applicationofbayesiangeostatisticalmodelingfortheassessmentofriskforchildmortalityduringthe2008earthquakeinwenchuanpeoplesrepublicofchina AT junzhu applicationofbayesiangeostatisticalmodelingfortheassessmentofriskforchildmortalityduringthe2008earthquakeinwenchuanpeoplesrepublicofchina AT juanliang applicationofbayesiangeostatisticalmodelingfortheassessmentofriskforchildmortalityduringthe2008earthquakeinwenchuanpeoplesrepublicofchina |
_version_ |
1724578376468922368 |