| Summary: | Dockless bike-sharing systems provide parking anywhere feature and environment-friendly approach for commuter. It is booming all over the world. Different from dockless bike-sharing systems, for example, previous studies focus on rental mode and docking stations planning. Yet, due to the fact that human mobility patterns of temporal and geographic lead to bike imbalance problem, we modeled human mobility patterns, predicted bike usage, and optimized management of the bike-sharing service. First, we proposed adaptive Geohash-grid clustering to classify bike flow patterns. For simplicity and rapid modeling, we defined three queuing models: over-demand, self-balance, and over-supply. Second, we improved adaptive Geohash-grid clustering-support vector machine algorithm to recognize self-balance pattern. Third, based on the result of adaptive Geohash-grid clustering-support vector machine, we proposed Markov state prediction model and Poisson mixture model expectation-maximization algorithm. Based on data set from Mobike and OFO, we conduct experiments to evaluate models. Results show that our models offer better prediction and optimization performance.
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