A Time-Critical Topic Model for Predicting the Survival Time of Sepsis Patients

Sepsis is a leading cause of mortality in intensive care units and costs hospitals billions of dollars annually worldwide. Predicting survival time for sepsis patients is a time-critical prediction problem. Considering the useful sequential information for sepsis development, this paper proposes a t...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Wenping Guo, Zhuoming Xu, Xijian Ye, Shiqing Zhang, Xiaoming Zhao, Xue Li
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Hindawi Limited 2020-01-01
Series:Scientific Programming
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/8884539
Description
Summary:Sepsis is a leading cause of mortality in intensive care units and costs hospitals billions of dollars annually worldwide. Predicting survival time for sepsis patients is a time-critical prediction problem. Considering the useful sequential information for sepsis development, this paper proposes a time-critical topic model (TiCTM) inspired by the latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) model. The proposed TiCTM approach takes into account the time dependency structure between notes, measurement, and survival time of a sepsis patient. Experimental results on the public MIMIC-III database show that, overall, our method outperforms the conventional LDA and linear regression model in terms of recall, precision, accuracy, and F1-measure. It is also found that our method achieves the best performance by using 5 topics when predicting the probability for 30-day survival time.
ISSN:1058-9244
1875-919X