Sustainable biomass supply and demand: a scenario analysis

• Main Authors: Piotrowski Stephan, Carus Michael, Essel Roland
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: De Gruyter 2016-01-01
• Series: Open Agriculture
• Subjects: bio-economy; biomass; bioenergy; scenario analysis
• Online Access: https://doi.org/10.1515/opag-2016-0003

This paper provides a concise summary and dis- cussion of key results of the study “Sustainable biomass potentials for biofuels in competition to food, feed, bioen- ergy and industrial material use in Germany, Europe and the world”. The scenario-analysis developed in this paper differentiates between the global level and the European Union level, providing a perspective on future trends and developments. Specifically, results of the present study provide a detailed view of possible scenarios for a sus- tainable supply of biomass until the year 2050, and of the development of demand in all biomass sectors: food, feed, chemicals and materials, bioenergy and biofuels. Due to this approach, one can clearly see under which assump- tions global supply shortages or a sufficient coverage of demand may occur.