Population dynamics and land cover changes of urban areas
In order to enable efficient management of spatial development of cities, it is essential to analyse changes in land cover, in the ‘consumption’ of the land surrounding cities and the attained rationality with respect to the use of already urban land (reflected in the urban population densi...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Institute of Architecture, Urban & Spatial Planning of Serbia
2014-01-01
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| Series: | Spatium |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/1450-569X/2014/1450-569X1431022K.pdf |
| Summary: | In order to enable efficient management of spatial development of cities, it
is essential to analyse changes in land cover, in the ‘consumption’ of the
land surrounding cities and the attained rationality with respect to the use
of already urban land (reflected in the urban population density). This paper
provides an overview of the land cover changes in the period between 1990 and
2006, and the potential correlation between the dynamics of the total
population change on the one hand, and the land cover change on the other.
The initial hypotheses of this paper are: (1) occupation and sealing of
productive soil in peri-urban zones is not proportional to the population
dynamics of cities and their metropolitan areas; and (2) expansion of soil
sealing in peri-urban zones is not significantly affected by the differences
with regard to the natural surroundings and historical development of cities,
nor by these cities being developed cities or cities in transition,
capitalistic or post-socialist cities, etc. These hypotheses are tested and
confirmed in the cases of three capital cities in South and Southeast Europe.
Regarding the changes in population density, it can be concluded that
central/inner-city municipalities became less populated, with sometimes very
significant decrease in population density, but without any land cover
change, which indicates ‘depopulation’. At the same time, outer-city and
peripheral municipalities also suffered a decline in population density,
while their urban zones extended. [Projekat Ministarstva nauke Republike
Srbije, br. TR36036: Sustainable Spatial Development of Danube Area in Serbia
i br. III47014: The Role and Implementation of the National Spatial Plan and
Regional Development in Renewal of Strategic Research, Thinking and
Governance in Serbia] |
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| ISSN: | 1450-569X 2217-8066 |