Estimating the COVID-19 Prevalence in Spain With Indirect Reporting via Open Surveys

During the initial phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, accurate tracking has proven unfeasible. Initial estimation methods pointed toward case numbers that were much higher than officially reported. In the CoronaSurveys project, we have been addressing this issue using open online surveys with indirect...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Augusto Garcia-Agundez, Oluwasegun Ojo, Harold A. Hernández-Roig, Carlos Baquero, Davide Frey, Chryssis Georgiou, Mathieu Goessens, Rosa E. Lillo, Raquel Menezes, Nicolas Nicolaou, Antonio Ortega, Efstathios Stavrakis, Antonio Fernandez Anta
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2021-04-01
Series:Frontiers in Public Health
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fpubh.2021.658544/full
Description
Summary:During the initial phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, accurate tracking has proven unfeasible. Initial estimation methods pointed toward case numbers that were much higher than officially reported. In the CoronaSurveys project, we have been addressing this issue using open online surveys with indirect reporting. We compare our estimates with the results of a serology study for Spain, obtaining high correlations (R squared 0.89). In our view, these results strongly support the idea of using open surveys with indirect reporting as a method to broadly sense the progress of a pandemic.
ISSN:2296-2565