Currency Crisis Revisited: A Literature Review

• Main Author: Teuta Ismaili Muharremi
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Danubius University 2015-12-01
• Series: Acta Universitatis Danubius: Oeconomica
• Subjects: currency crisis; triggers of the currency crisis; role of the government; financial market; serious financial crisis
• Online Access: http://journals.univ-danubius.ro/index.php/oeconomica/article/view/3056/2984

This paper elaborates on currency crisis, focusing on the main factors causing the currency crisis. After a brief overview of the main factors driving currency crisis, the paper provides a literature review highlighting that the history of the global economy experienced a number of currency crisis whereas as relates to the triggers of the currency crisis there are three generations of models that have been used to explain currency crisis during the last four decades. Underscoring the role of the government in financial market, in particular the evolution of this role as a result of the recent global financial crisis and highlighting other factors that trigger such crisis, the paper concludes that the potential financial crisis can be addressed using early warning system, which consists of indicators proven to be beneficial in anticipation of the currency crisis, and using the advanced empirical models of currency crisis. In this context the paper reveals that currency crisis are associated with all factors impacting them such as inflation, real exchange rate, import growth, US interest rates, public debt/GDP, and current account/GDP – all with a slightly different time lag.