Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease
Control measures during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak may have limited the spread of infectious diseases. This study aimed to analyze the impact of COVID-19 on the spread of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in China. A mathematical model was established to fit the reported dat...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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KeAi Communications Co., Ltd.
2021-06-01
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| Series: | Journal of Safety Science and Resilience |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666449621000165 |
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Article |
| collection |
DOAJ |
| language |
English |
| format |
Article |
| sources |
DOAJ |
| author |
Yan Niu Li Luo Jia Rui Shiting Yang Bin Deng Zeyu Zhao Shengnan Lin Jingwen Xu Yuanzhao Zhu Yao Wang Meng Yang Xingchun Liu Tianlong Yang Weikang Liu Peihua Li Zhuoyang Li Chan Liu Jiefeng Huang Tianmu Chen |
| spellingShingle |
Yan Niu Li Luo Jia Rui Shiting Yang Bin Deng Zeyu Zhao Shengnan Lin Jingwen Xu Yuanzhao Zhu Yao Wang Meng Yang Xingchun Liu Tianlong Yang Weikang Liu Peihua Li Zhuoyang Li Chan Liu Jiefeng Huang Tianmu Chen Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease Journal of Safety Science and Resilience HFMD Transmissibility COVID-19 Effective reproduction number Mathematical model |
| author_facet |
Yan Niu Li Luo Jia Rui Shiting Yang Bin Deng Zeyu Zhao Shengnan Lin Jingwen Xu Yuanzhao Zhu Yao Wang Meng Yang Xingchun Liu Tianlong Yang Weikang Liu Peihua Li Zhuoyang Li Chan Liu Jiefeng Huang Tianmu Chen |
| author_sort |
Yan Niu |
| title |
Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease |
| title_short |
Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease |
| title_full |
Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease |
| title_fullStr |
Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease |
| title_full_unstemmed |
Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease |
| title_sort |
control measures during the covid-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth disease |
| publisher |
KeAi Communications Co., Ltd. |
| series |
Journal of Safety Science and Resilience |
| issn |
2666-4496 |
| publishDate |
2021-06-01 |
| description |
Control measures during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak may have limited the spread of infectious diseases. This study aimed to analyze the impact of COVID-19 on the spread of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in China. A mathematical model was established to fit the reported data of HFMD in six selected cities in mainland China from 2015 to 2020. The absolute difference (AD) and relative difference (RD) between the reported incidence in 2020, and simulated maximum, minimum, or median incidence of HFMD in 2015–2019 were calculated. The incidence and Reff of HFMD have decreased in six selected cities since the outbreak of COVID-19, and in the second half of 2020, the incidence and Reff of HFMD have rebounded. The results show that the total attack rate (TAR) in 2020 was lower than the maximum, minimum, and median TAR fitted in previous years in six selected cities (except Changsha City). For the maximum, median, minimum fitted TAR, the range of RD (%) is 42·20–99·20%, 36·35–98·41% 48·35–96·23% (except Changsha City) respectively. The preventive and control measures of COVID-19 have significantly contributed to the containment of HFMD transmission. |
| topic |
HFMD Transmissibility COVID-19 Effective reproduction number Mathematical model |
| url |
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666449621000165 |
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doaj-ed701ca33f3846d4966d43e4812d715e2021-08-12T04:35:54ZengKeAi Communications Co., Ltd.Journal of Safety Science and Resilience2666-44962021-06-01226368Control measures during the COVID-19 outbreak reduced the transmission of hand, foot, and mouth diseaseYan Niu0Li Luo1Jia Rui2Shiting Yang3Bin Deng4Zeyu Zhao5Shengnan Lin6Jingwen Xu7Yuanzhao Zhu8Yao Wang9Meng Yang10Xingchun Liu11Tianlong Yang12Weikang Liu13Peihua Li14Zhuoyang Li15Chan Liu16Jiefeng Huang17Tianmu Chen18Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Beijing, 102206, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, ChinaState Key Laboratory of Molecular Vaccinology and Molecular Diagnostics, School of Public Health, Xiamen University, Xiamen, Fujian, 361102, China; Corresponding author.Control measures during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak may have limited the spread of infectious diseases. This study aimed to analyze the impact of COVID-19 on the spread of hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) in China. A mathematical model was established to fit the reported data of HFMD in six selected cities in mainland China from 2015 to 2020. The absolute difference (AD) and relative difference (RD) between the reported incidence in 2020, and simulated maximum, minimum, or median incidence of HFMD in 2015–2019 were calculated. The incidence and Reff of HFMD have decreased in six selected cities since the outbreak of COVID-19, and in the second half of 2020, the incidence and Reff of HFMD have rebounded. The results show that the total attack rate (TAR) in 2020 was lower than the maximum, minimum, and median TAR fitted in previous years in six selected cities (except Changsha City). For the maximum, median, minimum fitted TAR, the range of RD (%) is 42·20–99·20%, 36·35–98·41% 48·35–96·23% (except Changsha City) respectively. The preventive and control measures of COVID-19 have significantly contributed to the containment of HFMD transmission.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666449621000165HFMDTransmissibilityCOVID-19Effective reproduction numberMathematical model |