Construction and Validation of a Serum Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio-Based Nomogram for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Breast Cancer
BackgroundBreast cancer patients who achieve pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) have favorable outcomes. Reliable predictors for pCR help to identify patients who will benefit most from NAC. The pretreatment serum albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) ha...
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doaj-ede36c755dd044d9bbdcb02015aabfd52021-10-08T06:21:37ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Oncology2234-943X2021-10-011110.3389/fonc.2021.681905681905Construction and Validation of a Serum Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio-Based Nomogram for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Breast CancerFanli Qu0Fanli Qu1Zongyan Li2Shengqing Lai3XiaoFang Zhong4Xiaoyan Fu5Xiaojia Huang6Qian Li7Shengchun Liu8Haiyan Li9Department of Breast Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Endocrine and Breast Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaDepartment of Endocrine and Breast Surgery, The First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University, Chongqing, ChinaDepartment of Breast Surgery, The Sixth Affiliated Hospital, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, ChinaBackgroundBreast cancer patients who achieve pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) have favorable outcomes. Reliable predictors for pCR help to identify patients who will benefit most from NAC. The pretreatment serum albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) has been shown to be a prognostic predictor in several malignancies, but its predictive value for pCR in breast cancer is still unknown. This study aims to investigate the predictive role of AAPR in breast cancer patients and develop an AAPR-based nomogram for pCR rate prediction.MethodsA total of 780 patients who received anthracycline and taxane-based NAC from January 2012 to March 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess the predictive value of AAPR and other clinicopathological factors. A nomogram was developed and calibrated based on multivariate logistic regression. A validation cohort of 234 patients was utilized to further validate the predictive performance of the model. The C-index, calibration plots and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the discrimination, calibration and clinical value of the model.ResultsPatients with a lower AAPR (<0.583) had a significantly reduced pCR rate (OR 2.228, 95% CI 1.246-3.986, p=0.007). Tumor size, clinical nodal status, histological grade, PR, Ki67 and AAPR were identified as independent predictors and included in the final model. The nomogram was used as a graphical representation of the model. The nomogram had satisfactory calibration and discrimination in both the training cohort and validation cohort (the C-index was 0.792 in the training cohort and 0.790 in the validation cohort). Furthermore, DCA indicated a clinical net benefit from the nomogram.ConclusionsPretreatment serum AAPR is a potentially valuable predictor for pCR in breast cancer patients who receive NAC. The AAPR-based nomogram is a noninvasive tool with favorable predictive accuracy for pCR, which helps to make individualized treatment strategy decisions.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2021.681905/fullbreast canceralbumin-to-alkaline phosphatase rationeoadjuvant chemotherapynomogrampathological complete response |
collection |
DOAJ |
language |
English |
format |
Article |
sources |
DOAJ |
author |
Fanli Qu Fanli Qu Zongyan Li Shengqing Lai XiaoFang Zhong Xiaoyan Fu Xiaojia Huang Qian Li Shengchun Liu Haiyan Li |
spellingShingle |
Fanli Qu Fanli Qu Zongyan Li Shengqing Lai XiaoFang Zhong Xiaoyan Fu Xiaojia Huang Qian Li Shengchun Liu Haiyan Li Construction and Validation of a Serum Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio-Based Nomogram for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Breast Cancer Frontiers in Oncology breast cancer albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio neoadjuvant chemotherapy nomogram pathological complete response |
author_facet |
Fanli Qu Fanli Qu Zongyan Li Shengqing Lai XiaoFang Zhong Xiaoyan Fu Xiaojia Huang Qian Li Shengchun Liu Haiyan Li |
author_sort |
Fanli Qu |
title |
Construction and Validation of a Serum Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio-Based Nomogram for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Breast Cancer |
title_short |
Construction and Validation of a Serum Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio-Based Nomogram for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Breast Cancer |
title_full |
Construction and Validation of a Serum Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio-Based Nomogram for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Breast Cancer |
title_fullStr |
Construction and Validation of a Serum Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio-Based Nomogram for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Breast Cancer |
title_full_unstemmed |
Construction and Validation of a Serum Albumin-to-Alkaline Phosphatase Ratio-Based Nomogram for Predicting Pathological Complete Response in Breast Cancer |
title_sort |
construction and validation of a serum albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio-based nomogram for predicting pathological complete response in breast cancer |
publisher |
Frontiers Media S.A. |
series |
Frontiers in Oncology |
issn |
2234-943X |
publishDate |
2021-10-01 |
description |
BackgroundBreast cancer patients who achieve pathological complete response (pCR) after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) have favorable outcomes. Reliable predictors for pCR help to identify patients who will benefit most from NAC. The pretreatment serum albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio (AAPR) has been shown to be a prognostic predictor in several malignancies, but its predictive value for pCR in breast cancer is still unknown. This study aims to investigate the predictive role of AAPR in breast cancer patients and develop an AAPR-based nomogram for pCR rate prediction.MethodsA total of 780 patients who received anthracycline and taxane-based NAC from January 2012 to March 2018 were retrospectively analyzed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess the predictive value of AAPR and other clinicopathological factors. A nomogram was developed and calibrated based on multivariate logistic regression. A validation cohort of 234 patients was utilized to further validate the predictive performance of the model. The C-index, calibration plots and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to evaluate the discrimination, calibration and clinical value of the model.ResultsPatients with a lower AAPR (<0.583) had a significantly reduced pCR rate (OR 2.228, 95% CI 1.246-3.986, p=0.007). Tumor size, clinical nodal status, histological grade, PR, Ki67 and AAPR were identified as independent predictors and included in the final model. The nomogram was used as a graphical representation of the model. The nomogram had satisfactory calibration and discrimination in both the training cohort and validation cohort (the C-index was 0.792 in the training cohort and 0.790 in the validation cohort). Furthermore, DCA indicated a clinical net benefit from the nomogram.ConclusionsPretreatment serum AAPR is a potentially valuable predictor for pCR in breast cancer patients who receive NAC. The AAPR-based nomogram is a noninvasive tool with favorable predictive accuracy for pCR, which helps to make individualized treatment strategy decisions. |
topic |
breast cancer albumin-to-alkaline phosphatase ratio neoadjuvant chemotherapy nomogram pathological complete response |
url |
https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fonc.2021.681905/full |
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