Konfl ik Internasional Abad ke-21? Benturan Antarnegara Demokrasi dan Masa Depan Politik Dunia

• Main Author: Mohamad Rosyidin
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Universitas Gadjah Mada 2016-09-01
• Series: JSP: Jurnal Ilmu Sosial dan Ilmu Politik
• Subjects: international confl ict; the clash of democratization theory
• Online Access: https://jurnal.ugm.ac.id/jsp/article/view/13137

‘The clash of civilizations’ of Samuel Huntington and ‘the end of history’ of Francis Fukuyama are two grand theories that have been widely accepted as the most dominant narratives in post- Cold War international relations. Unfortunately, there have been litt le theoretical developments in today’s world to predict the future of international confl ict. The theory assumed that the future international confl ict will not occur between democracies and non-democracies as Democratic Peace Theory proposed, but between established democracies and emerging democracies. The established democracies reluctant to share their power with the emerging democracies on how to manage global order. This reluctancy will lead to political frictions and confl icts among them. In spite of its theoretical breakthrough, this theory suff ers of logical inconsistency since it does not distinguish between emerging democracies and emerging powers. Instead of confl ict among democracies, this article argues that international confl icts in the 21 st century will be dominated by asimetrical confl ict between nation-states and radical movements, confl icts due to information openess, and confl ict over natural resources.