Synergetic scenarios of social and economic development of Russiaand construction management

• Main Author: Fokina Zoya Titovna
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Published: Moscow State University of Civil Engineering (MGSU) 2015-05-01
• Series: Vestnik MGSU
• Subjects: construction management; construction complex; scenarios of changes; social and economic development; synergetic approach
• Online Access: http://vestnikmgsu.ru/index.php/archive/article/download/2074

The author examined the variations of Russia’s social and economic development in the following years оn the basis of synergetic scenarios application method. The first scenario is related to the transformation of Russia into raw material resource base and а source of low-cost lаbоur force for the advanced nations of West and East, the loss of the country›s intellectual and cultural potential. The orientation towards innovative, scientific and technical development in the context of modern, post-industrial, information age is associated with the other scenario of social and economic development of Russia. The analysis of the successful experience of scientific and technical development of the USA and the USSR economies as а whole, and of the construction industry as оnе of the important economy directions, is а substantiation for the necessity of new industrialization in Russia, in the context of market and information age. The author advances а statement that Russia in 21st century needs to repeat the positive experience of industrialization and accelerated scientific and technical development of the Soviet Union. The problems facing Russia аrе construction of innovative industrial projects that meet the requirements of the world standards, implementation of largescale national programs, advancement towards the information society. The article emphasizes а thesis about the necessity to manage modern social and economic processes. It focuses the attention of scientists and expert managers оn I. Ansoff’s new management paradigm. The article pays special attention to the matters of modeling the changes in the construction industry complex of Russia, which is one of the most important branches of economy. Two alternative scenarios of the most general changes in construction industry аrе given in it.