Economical performance and citizen protest as detonants of presidential falls: The Ecuadorian case

• Main Authors: Santiago Basabe-Serrano, John Polga-Hec
• Format: Article
• Language: Spanish
• Published: Facultad Latinoamericana de Ciencias Sociales, Sede México 2017-07-01
• Series: Perfiles Latinoamericanos
• Subjects: Causalidad coyuntural múltiple; caídas presidenciales; Ecuador; desempeño económico; protesta ciudadana.
• Online Access: http://perfilesla.flacso.edu.mx/index.php/perfilesla/article/view/919

<p class="Default">In this article, we identify economic crises (<em>X</em>1) in the presence of social mobilization (<em>X</em>2) as jointly conditional causes of premature president exit (<em>Y</em>). After identifying common points and tension in the literature, we propose that the study of presidential removal can benefit by incorporating a multiple conjunctural causation framework. Using two case studies of presidential instability in Ecuador, the article suggests that theoretical-empirical discrepancies in the existing literature can be resolved be incorporating more analytically rigorous approaches such as the one we identify.</p>