Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions

Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions

This article attempts to assess the future occurrence of a drought using the Sieljaninova hydrothermal index (HTC). Air temperature and total precipitation were simulated for current conditions (2000) and forecast for eight locations of meteorological stations in Poland according to the HAD and GFDL...

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Main Authors: Diakowska Ewa, Stanek Paulina, Iwański Sławomir, Gąsiorek Edward
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2018-01-01
Series:ITM Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1051/itmconf/20182300006
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spelling doaj-f60334bb70ec47369b5ed212d86e8fa02021-03-02T09:45:04ZengEDP SciencesITM Web of Conferences2271-20972018-01-01230000610.1051/itmconf/20182300006itmconf_sam2018_00006Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributionsDiakowska Ewa0Stanek Paulina1Iwański Sławomir2Gąsiorek Edward3Wrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of MathematicsWrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of MathematicsWrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of MathematicsWrocław University of Environmental and Life Sciences, Department of MathematicsThis article attempts to assess the future occurrence of a drought using the Sieljaninova hydrothermal index (HTC). Air temperature and total precipitation were simulated for current conditions (2000) and forecast for eight locations of meteorological stations in Poland according to the HAD and GFDL scenarios for RCP 45 and 60 for 2040 and 2060.https://doi.org/10.1051/itmconf/20182300006
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Diakowska Ewa
Stanek Paulina
Iwański Sławomir
Gąsiorek Edward
spellingShingle Diakowska Ewa
Stanek Paulina
Iwański Sławomir
Gąsiorek Edward
Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions
ITM Web of Conferences
author_facet Diakowska Ewa
Stanek Paulina
Iwański Sławomir
Gąsiorek Edward
author_sort Diakowska Ewa
title Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions
title_short Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions
title_full Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions
title_fullStr Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of the occurrence of drought in Poland by 2060 based on the HTC index and probability distributions
title_sort estimation of the occurrence of drought in poland by 2060 based on the htc index and probability distributions
publisher EDP Sciences
series ITM Web of Conferences
issn 2271-2097
publishDate 2018-01-01
description This article attempts to assess the future occurrence of a drought using the Sieljaninova hydrothermal index (HTC). Air temperature and total precipitation were simulated for current conditions (2000) and forecast for eight locations of meteorological stations in Poland according to the HAD and GFDL scenarios for RCP 45 and 60 for 2040 and 2060.
url https://doi.org/10.1051/itmconf/20182300006
work_keys_str_mv AT diakowskaewa estimationoftheoccurrenceofdroughtinpolandby2060basedonthehtcindexandprobabilitydistributions
AT stanekpaulina estimationoftheoccurrenceofdroughtinpolandby2060basedonthehtcindexandprobabilitydistributions
AT iwanskisławomir estimationoftheoccurrenceofdroughtinpolandby2060basedonthehtcindexandprobabilitydistributions
AT gasiorekedward estimationoftheoccurrenceofdroughtinpolandby2060basedonthehtcindexandprobabilitydistributions
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