Quantitative analysis of most important infectious disease trend by climate change in Iran: Spatial trend analysis using Mann-Kendal

Background & Aim: The aim of the study was to define the epidemiological characteristics of most important infectious diseases in Iran in recent decades. Methods & Materials: This was a situation trend analysis of infectious diseases (vector and water borne disease, and food borne diseases...

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Main Authors: Elham Ahmadnezhad, Zhaleh Abdi, Abolhassan Safdari, Farshid Fayyaz-Jahani, Sheida Malek-Afzali, Soraya Fathollahi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tehran University of Medical Sciences 2016-12-01
Series:Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/84
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spelling doaj-fdd4d82962a3464c99641346f94ed3a72020-12-06T04:10:13ZengTehran University of Medical SciencesJournal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology2383-41962383-420X2016-12-0122Quantitative analysis of most important infectious disease trend by climate change in Iran: Spatial trend analysis using Mann-KendalElham Ahmadnezhad0Zhaleh Abdi1Abolhassan Safdari2Farshid Fayyaz-Jahani3Sheida Malek-Afzali4Soraya Fathollahi5National Institute of Health Research, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, IranDepartment of Health Expenditure, National Institute of Health Research, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, IranDepartment of Infectious Disease, Zahedan University of Medical Sciences, Zahedan, IranAcademic Center for Education, Culture and Research Center, Urmia, IranDepartment of Environment and occupational Health center, Ministry of Health, Tehran, IranDepartment of Health in Disasters and Emergencies, International Campus, Tehran University of Medical Sciences, Tehran, Iran Background & Aim: The aim of the study was to define the epidemiological characteristics of most important infectious diseases in Iran in recent decades. Methods & Materials: This was a situation trend analysis of infectious diseases (vector and water borne disease, and food borne diseases) in recent decades based on data availability. Three significance levels were used for Mann-Kendall test (90%, 95% and 99%). Results: The morbidities of most studied diseases had decreased in whole of the country. Unlike other diseases, coetaneous leishmaniasis had not followed the deacreasing trend. In terms of location, Khorasan-e-Shomali was followed the increasing pattern for in four out of six disaeses [malaria, leishmaniasis (coetaneous and visceral), and typhoid]. Conclusion: In conclusion, there is a significant decreasing trend of most important infectious diseases in Iran. Nevertheless, climate change is already happening and would influence the diseases trends. Hence, developing and implementing adaptation strate ies should be considered. https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/84Climate changeInfectious diseaseMann-Kendall trend testsSpatial
collection DOAJ
language English
format Article
sources DOAJ
author Elham Ahmadnezhad
Zhaleh Abdi
Abolhassan Safdari
Farshid Fayyaz-Jahani
Sheida Malek-Afzali
Soraya Fathollahi
spellingShingle Elham Ahmadnezhad
Zhaleh Abdi
Abolhassan Safdari
Farshid Fayyaz-Jahani
Sheida Malek-Afzali
Soraya Fathollahi
Quantitative analysis of most important infectious disease trend by climate change in Iran: Spatial trend analysis using Mann-Kendal
Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
Climate change
Infectious disease
Mann-Kendall trend tests
Spatial
author_facet Elham Ahmadnezhad
Zhaleh Abdi
Abolhassan Safdari
Farshid Fayyaz-Jahani
Sheida Malek-Afzali
Soraya Fathollahi
author_sort Elham Ahmadnezhad
title Quantitative analysis of most important infectious disease trend by climate change in Iran: Spatial trend analysis using Mann-Kendal
title_short Quantitative analysis of most important infectious disease trend by climate change in Iran: Spatial trend analysis using Mann-Kendal
title_full Quantitative analysis of most important infectious disease trend by climate change in Iran: Spatial trend analysis using Mann-Kendal
title_fullStr Quantitative analysis of most important infectious disease trend by climate change in Iran: Spatial trend analysis using Mann-Kendal
title_full_unstemmed Quantitative analysis of most important infectious disease trend by climate change in Iran: Spatial trend analysis using Mann-Kendal
title_sort quantitative analysis of most important infectious disease trend by climate change in iran: spatial trend analysis using mann-kendal
publisher Tehran University of Medical Sciences
series Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
issn 2383-4196
2383-420X
publishDate 2016-12-01
description Background & Aim: The aim of the study was to define the epidemiological characteristics of most important infectious diseases in Iran in recent decades. Methods & Materials: This was a situation trend analysis of infectious diseases (vector and water borne disease, and food borne diseases) in recent decades based on data availability. Three significance levels were used for Mann-Kendall test (90%, 95% and 99%). Results: The morbidities of most studied diseases had decreased in whole of the country. Unlike other diseases, coetaneous leishmaniasis had not followed the deacreasing trend. In terms of location, Khorasan-e-Shomali was followed the increasing pattern for in four out of six disaeses [malaria, leishmaniasis (coetaneous and visceral), and typhoid]. Conclusion: In conclusion, there is a significant decreasing trend of most important infectious diseases in Iran. Nevertheless, climate change is already happening and would influence the diseases trends. Hence, developing and implementing adaptation strate ies should be considered.
topic Climate change
Infectious disease
Mann-Kendall trend tests
Spatial
url https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/84
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