County Level Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections
This thesis seeks to understand the relationship between county level economic voting and county level economic voting by demographic group on county level vote shares for U.S. presidential elections. Using an entity and time fixed effects regression model, I study the effects that county level grow...
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ndltd-CLAREMONT-oai-scholarship.claremont.edu-cmc_theses-21552015-05-20T03:33:32Z County Level Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections Sartorius, Martin R This thesis seeks to understand the relationship between county level economic voting and county level economic voting by demographic group on county level vote shares for U.S. presidential elections. Using an entity and time fixed effects regression model, I study the effects that county level growth in real per capita personal income and unemployment rate change have on county level two-party vote share for the Democratic Party. Additionally, I observe the responsiveness of a county’s voting behavior due to the demographic makeup of that specific county. I then compare my initial results to those of Eisenberg and Ketcham (2004) for the 1992-2000 presidential elections. I utilize the same models for the 2004-2012 elections to compare these results to those from the 1992-2000 elections. Additionally, I rerun my model for the 1992-2000 presidential elections, after restricting my economic data to non-outliers, to study the effects that outliers in economic conditions have on my original results. 2015-01-01T08:00:00Z text application/pdf http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/1172 http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2155&context=cmc_theses © 2015 Martin R. Sartorius default CMC Senior Theses Scholarship @ Claremont Economics Voting County US Presidential Elections American Politics Econometrics Political Economy Regional Economics |
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Economics Voting County US Presidential Elections American Politics Econometrics Political Economy Regional Economics |
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Economics Voting County US Presidential Elections American Politics Econometrics Political Economy Regional Economics Sartorius, Martin R County Level Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections |
description |
This thesis seeks to understand the relationship between county level economic voting and county level economic voting by demographic group on county level vote shares for U.S. presidential elections. Using an entity and time fixed effects regression model, I study the effects that county level growth in real per capita personal income and unemployment rate change have on county level two-party vote share for the Democratic Party. Additionally, I observe the responsiveness of a county’s voting behavior due to the demographic makeup of that specific county. I then compare my initial results to those of Eisenberg and Ketcham (2004) for the 1992-2000 presidential elections. I utilize the same models for the 2004-2012 elections to compare these results to those from the 1992-2000 elections. Additionally, I rerun my model for the 1992-2000 presidential elections, after restricting my economic data to non-outliers, to study the effects that outliers in economic conditions have on my original results. |
author |
Sartorius, Martin R |
author_facet |
Sartorius, Martin R |
author_sort |
Sartorius, Martin R |
title |
County Level Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections |
title_short |
County Level Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections |
title_full |
County Level Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections |
title_fullStr |
County Level Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections |
title_full_unstemmed |
County Level Economic Voting in U.S. Presidential Elections |
title_sort |
county level economic voting in u.s. presidential elections |
publisher |
Scholarship @ Claremont |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/1172 http://scholarship.claremont.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2155&context=cmc_theses |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT sartoriusmartinr countyleveleconomicvotinginuspresidentialelections |
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1716803473744330752 |