Evaluation and ranking of minor-league hitters using a statistical model
Master of Science === Department of Statistics === Thomas M. Loughin === Traditionally, major-league scouts have evaluated young “position players,” those who are not pitchers, using the “Five Tools”: hitting for average, hitting for power, running, throwing, and fielding. However, “sabermetricians...
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ndltd-KSU-oai-krex.k-state.edu-2097-1492017-08-16T15:44:29Z Evaluation and ranking of minor-league hitters using a statistical model Johnson, Gary Brent Factor analysis Ordinal regression Minor-league hitters Statistics (0463) Master of Science Department of Statistics Thomas M. Loughin Traditionally, major-league scouts have evaluated young “position players,” those who are not pitchers, using the “Five Tools”: hitting for average, hitting for power, running, throwing, and fielding. However, “sabermetricians,” those who study the science of baseball, e.g. Bill James, have been trying to evaluate position players using quantifiable measures of performance. In this study, a factor analysis was used to determine underlying characteristics of minor-league hitters. The underlying factors were determined to be slugging ability, lead-off hitting ability, “patience” at the plate, and pure-hitting ability. Additionally, an ordinal response was created from the number of at-bats and on-base plus slugging percentage in the majors during the 2002-05 seasons. The underlying characteristics along with other variables such as a player’s age, position, and level in the minors are used in a cumulative logit logistic regression model to predict a player’s probability of notable success in the majors. The model is built upon data from the 2002 minor-league season and data from the 2002, 2003, 2004, and 2005 major-league seasons. 2006-04-24T14:30:18Z 2006-04-24T14:30:18Z 2006-04-24T14:30:18Z 2006 May Report http://hdl.handle.net/2097/149 en_US 2182114 bytes application/pdf Kansas State University |
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Factor analysis Ordinal regression Minor-league hitters Statistics (0463) |
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Factor analysis Ordinal regression Minor-league hitters Statistics (0463) Johnson, Gary Brent Evaluation and ranking of minor-league hitters using a statistical model |
description |
Master of Science === Department of Statistics === Thomas M. Loughin === Traditionally, major-league scouts have evaluated young “position players,” those who are not pitchers, using the “Five Tools”: hitting for average, hitting for power, running, throwing, and fielding. However, “sabermetricians,” those who study the science of baseball, e.g. Bill James, have been trying to evaluate position players using quantifiable measures of performance. In this study, a factor analysis was used to determine underlying characteristics of minor-league hitters. The underlying factors were determined to be slugging ability, lead-off hitting ability, “patience” at the plate, and pure-hitting ability. Additionally, an ordinal response was created from the number of at-bats and on-base plus slugging percentage in the majors during the 2002-05 seasons. The underlying characteristics along with other variables such as a player’s age, position, and level in the minors are used in a cumulative logit logistic regression model to predict a player’s probability of notable success in the majors. The model is built upon data from the 2002 minor-league season and data from the 2002, 2003, 2004, and 2005 major-league seasons. |
author |
Johnson, Gary Brent |
author_facet |
Johnson, Gary Brent |
author_sort |
Johnson, Gary Brent |
title |
Evaluation and ranking of minor-league hitters using a statistical model |
title_short |
Evaluation and ranking of minor-league hitters using a statistical model |
title_full |
Evaluation and ranking of minor-league hitters using a statistical model |
title_fullStr |
Evaluation and ranking of minor-league hitters using a statistical model |
title_full_unstemmed |
Evaluation and ranking of minor-league hitters using a statistical model |
title_sort |
evaluation and ranking of minor-league hitters using a statistical model |
publisher |
Kansas State University |
publishDate |
2006 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2097/149 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT johnsongarybrent evaluationandrankingofminorleaguehittersusingastatisticalmodel |
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1718516020229963776 |