The Indirect Effects of Mediation: A Dynamic Model of Mediation and Conflict
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2016
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| Online Access: | http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1468844108 |
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ndltd-OhioLink-oai-etd.ohiolink.edu-osu14688441082021-08-03T06:37:35Z The Indirect Effects of Mediation: A Dynamic Model of Mediation and Conflict Schricker, Ezra Political Science International Relations mediation international security research design causal inference time-varying confounding policy effectiveness conflict studies The existing literature on conflict management through mediation tends to rely on static models that measure the characteristics of a conflict once, at the onset, and assume that they do not change over time. Yet our qualitative knowledge suggests that the severity of a conflict fluctuates based on the cooperative or conflictual actions of belligerents during the conflict. Moreover, mediators monitor conflicts and decide to intervene based on changes that occur after conflict onset. I build on these intuitions to create a dynamic model of mediation into ongoing disputes. I argue that mediation has an indirect effect on settlement, specifically through its ability to increase cooperative behavior. These indirect causal pathways are ignored in traditional models of conflict, leading scholars to base their conclusions on only the direct effect of mediation. To test my argument, I create weekly event data for 43 conflicts from 1991 to 2008 that capture the timing of mediation and the ebb and flow of conflict severity. I use a marginal structural model to account for both the direct and indirect effect of mediation. The empirical findings demonstrate that the indirect effect of mediation is a primary component of its effectiveness as a tool of conflict resolution. 2016-10-31 English text The Ohio State University / OhioLINK http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1468844108 http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1468844108 unrestricted This thesis or dissertation is protected by copyright: all rights reserved. It may not be copied or redistributed beyond the terms of applicable copyright laws. |
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NDLTD |
| language |
English |
| sources |
NDLTD |
| topic |
Political Science International Relations mediation international security research design causal inference time-varying confounding policy effectiveness conflict studies |
| spellingShingle |
Political Science International Relations mediation international security research design causal inference time-varying confounding policy effectiveness conflict studies Schricker, Ezra The Indirect Effects of Mediation: A Dynamic Model of Mediation and Conflict |
| author |
Schricker, Ezra |
| author_facet |
Schricker, Ezra |
| author_sort |
Schricker, Ezra |
| title |
The Indirect Effects of Mediation: A Dynamic Model of Mediation and Conflict |
| title_short |
The Indirect Effects of Mediation: A Dynamic Model of Mediation and Conflict |
| title_full |
The Indirect Effects of Mediation: A Dynamic Model of Mediation and Conflict |
| title_fullStr |
The Indirect Effects of Mediation: A Dynamic Model of Mediation and Conflict |
| title_full_unstemmed |
The Indirect Effects of Mediation: A Dynamic Model of Mediation and Conflict |
| title_sort |
indirect effects of mediation: a dynamic model of mediation and conflict |
| publisher |
The Ohio State University / OhioLINK |
| publishDate |
2016 |
| url |
http://rave.ohiolink.edu/etdc/view?acc_num=osu1468844108 |
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AT schrickerezra theindirecteffectsofmediationadynamicmodelofmediationandconflict AT schrickerezra indirecteffectsofmediationadynamicmodelofmediationandconflict |
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