Forecasting for nonstationary time series a neural networks approach

碩士 === 國立政治大學 === 統計研究所 === 80 === CONVENTIONAL TIME SERIES ANALYSIS DEPENDS HEAVILY ON THE TWIN SUMPTIONS OF LINEARITY AND STATIONARITY. HOWEVER, THERE ARE CERTAIN CASES WHERE SAMPLED DATA TEND TO VIOLATE THE ASSUMPTIONS. IN THIS PAPER,...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: YU, JIAN, 于健
Other Authors: WU, BO-LIN
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 1992
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/45027944180024261207
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立政治大學 === 統計研究所 === 80 === CONVENTIONAL TIME SERIES ANALYSIS DEPENDS HEAVILY ON THE TWIN SUMPTIONS OF LINEARITY AND STATIONARITY. HOWEVER, THERE ARE CERTAIN CASES WHERE SAMPLED DATA TEND TO VIOLATE THE ASSUMPTIONS. IN THIS PAPER, WE USE NEURAL NETWORKS TECHNOLOGY TO EXPLORE THE SITUATION WHEN THE ASSUMPTIONS OF LINEARITY AND STATIONARITY ARE FAILED. AT THE END OF THE PAPER, WE DISCUSS AN ILLUSTRATIVE EXAMPLE ABOUT THE ANNUAL EXPENDITURES OF GOVERNMENT AND SCIENCE-EDUCATION-CULTURE OF R.O.C.