A Study of Residential Construction Cycles of Taiwan ,1982-1991
碩士 === 逢甲大學 === 建築及都市計畫研究所 === 82 === " Cycle " is a series of events taking place in a regularly repeated order over time. Generally, the study of cycle is divided into two parts:one is to study the length of cycle ; the oth...
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ndltd-TW-082FCU002240012016-02-10T04:08:57Z http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/67741456543045091843 A Study of Residential Construction Cycles of Taiwan ,1982-1991 臺灣地區住宅建築循環之研究(1982-1991) Sun,Li Ling 孫麗玲 碩士 逢甲大學 建築及都市計畫研究所 82 " Cycle " is a series of events taking place in a regularly repeated order over time. Generally, the study of cycle is divided into two parts:one is to study the length of cycle ; the other is to explain the causes of cycle. There are two approaches to time series analysis which may be identified as "time domain approach" and " frequency domain approach" . Since, one of the objectives is to study cyclical movements rather than to forecast the trend, therefore, the second approach will be applied.Subsequently,an attempt in made to explain the cyclical movement. Since 1960, focues on the short cycle in residential construction, and that short- run variations in residential construction are due to the housing finance. As for this reason, the thesis proposes a theory for residential construction cycle of Taiwan, the model pays particular attention to monetary variables and the structure of the mortgage market. Taiwan is selected as the study area. The result form spectral analysis is highly significant ,and it indicates that the data cycle pattern. Next, based upon the theory of residential construction cycle and housing finance, regression results, the mortgage rate in previous quarter(RM_1) and the inflow of funds to savings(DEP) and residential construction starts in previous quarter(HS_1) can well explain residential construction in Taiwan , 1982-1991. Then the mortgage rate in previous quarter (RM_1) affects residential construction starts negatively, the inflow of funed to savings(HS_1) and residential construction starts in previous quarter(HS_1) affect residential construction starts positive. Wang,Dah Lih 王大立 1994 學位論文 ; thesis 80 zh-TW |
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碩士 === 逢甲大學 === 建築及都市計畫研究所 === 82 === " Cycle " is a series of events taking place in a regularly
repeated order over time. Generally, the study of cycle is
divided into two parts:one is to study the length of cycle ;
the other is to explain the causes of cycle. There are two
approaches to time series analysis which may be identified as
"time domain approach" and " frequency domain approach" .
Since, one of the objectives is to study cyclical movements
rather than to forecast the trend, therefore, the second
approach will be applied.Subsequently,an attempt in made to
explain the cyclical movement. Since 1960, focues on the
short cycle in residential construction, and that short-
run variations in residential construction are due to the
housing finance. As for this reason, the thesis proposes a
theory for residential construction cycle of Taiwan, the model
pays particular attention to monetary variables and the
structure of the mortgage market. Taiwan is selected as the
study area. The result form spectral analysis is highly
significant ,and it indicates that the data cycle pattern.
Next, based upon the theory of residential construction
cycle and housing finance, regression results, the mortgage
rate in previous quarter(RM_1) and the inflow of funds to
savings(DEP) and residential construction starts in previous
quarter(HS_1) can well explain residential construction in
Taiwan , 1982-1991. Then the mortgage rate in previous quarter
(RM_1) affects residential construction starts negatively,
the inflow of funed to savings(HS_1) and residential
construction starts in previous quarter(HS_1) affect
residential construction starts positive.
|
author2 |
Wang,Dah Lih |
author_facet |
Wang,Dah Lih Sun,Li Ling 孫麗玲 |
author |
Sun,Li Ling 孫麗玲 |
spellingShingle |
Sun,Li Ling 孫麗玲 A Study of Residential Construction Cycles of Taiwan ,1982-1991 |
author_sort |
Sun,Li Ling |
title |
A Study of Residential Construction Cycles of Taiwan ,1982-1991 |
title_short |
A Study of Residential Construction Cycles of Taiwan ,1982-1991 |
title_full |
A Study of Residential Construction Cycles of Taiwan ,1982-1991 |
title_fullStr |
A Study of Residential Construction Cycles of Taiwan ,1982-1991 |
title_full_unstemmed |
A Study of Residential Construction Cycles of Taiwan ,1982-1991 |
title_sort |
study of residential construction cycles of taiwan ,1982-1991 |
publishDate |
1994 |
url |
http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/67741456543045091843 |
work_keys_str_mv |
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