An Investigation into Seasonality in the Taiwan Spot US Dollar Market

碩士 === 淡江大學 === 金融研究所 === 83 === This study decomposes the daily returns in two parts: nontra- ding period returns and trading period returns, join trading vol- ume, and use these types to undertake further investigation of the Weekend Effect , the Jan...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Shwu-Jiuan Yang, 楊淑娟
Other Authors: Ching-Chih Hsu
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 1995
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/14421682176345674439
Description
Summary:碩士 === 淡江大學 === 金融研究所 === 83 === This study decomposes the daily returns in two parts: nontra- ding period returns and trading period returns, join trading vol- ume, and use these types to undertake further investigation of the Weekend Effect , the January Effect, Turn of Month Effect and Closing Effect in the Taiwan spot US dollar market. The scope of sample in this study contains 1621 trading days from Spring 1989 to October 1994 , non-parametric procedures are used to test these hypothesis. The conclusions of this empirical test decomstrates the foll- owing: 1. the Weekend Effect Although the hypothesis of equal means for the daily returns ,trading period returns and trading volume across all days of the week is all rejected,the average returns of Monday is the highest , the lowest average returns happens on Thursday. Therefore,there is not the Weekend Effect in the Taiwan spot US dollar market, there is day-of-the-week effect in it. 2. the January Effect Evidence is provided that there is strong seasonality in the Taiwan spot US dollar market. But the average returns of January is lower and negative , it does not confirm the existence of the January Effect. 3. the Turn of Month Effect There is evidence of reverse Turn-of-Month Effect in Taiwan spot US dollar market when turn of month is defined as the last and first three days of the month. 4. Closing Effect The average returns of post-holiday was low in Taiwan spot US dollar market, but it''s not a general ''closed- market'' effect.