| Summary: | 碩士 === 淡江大學 === 產業經濟學系 === 84 === With the rapid development of Taiwan''s economics and the gradual
frequencyto external trade, the activity for the whole economics
is more popular.In the expansion for production activities, the
industral structure also bechanged results to ask for different
productive technology in differentindustry. And this causes the
problem of structural unemployment. Owing toliberalization is
the tendency of the world trade now, government intentsto join
in the international organization for economics, for example
WTO.Joining in WTO can increase the trade amount to our country,
raises thenational production, and speeds up the intustrial
advance and economictransformation. However, in the process of
the trade liberalization, it isnecessary to pay for as much as
price. The most direct thing is to make ashock to labor
employmental market. This study uses the static CGE model
toappraise the effect of tariff reduction on trade
liberilization underdifferent exchange rate in regard to our
labor employment creating effectof long run and short run.In
production side of this model, the industry is divided to 29
departments byCES production function indicated production
technology. On trade side, CESfunction expresses import and CET
function expresses export. On demand side,household consumption
is showed by linear expenditure system. The purposein this paper
is two policy simulations : the one is single liberalization
topredict the variance for labor employment in individual branch
at 2000.The reduction of tariff in agriculture and animal is 36
$\%$ and on otherdepartment is 38 $\%$. The other is biliteral
liberalization to predict theworld trade index attaches to 1.08
at 2000. The reduction of tariff is the sameas the former.No
matter single or biliteral liberalization, most of labors
decreasionin short-run are much smaller than in long-run. This
indicates non-comparitivecpmpetition advantages department
results to much more unemployment inindustrial adjusting.At this
time, the industry possessing technical advantage absorbes
largelythese losing labors and makes vigorous. However, at the
base of the impossibletransformation on whole labors between
departments, government should givedomestic labors appropriate
protection and helpness before joining ininternational economic
organization.
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