| Summary: | 碩士 === 逢甲大學 === 土地管理研究所 === 86 === Habitation is one of the base demands for human beings and the
development of habitation is the most influential factor in
urban evolution. However, because the characteristics of housing
are different from other general properties, it usually
difficult to reach the balance of demands and supplies in the
housing market and consequently leads to the housing problems.
So, how to solve the questions of the demand and supply of
housing is government''s important task. Facing the unbalanced
situation of the demanBecause there are many uncertainly factors
in the housing market, if we neglect them or analyze them with
the wrong ways, it would result in serious mistakes. Therefore,
the most important problem is how to measure the uncertain
factors and put them in the analysis processing when we are to
analyze the housing market. This study has used the fuzzy
mathematics to solve the problem of factor measurements, and
used some analytic method, such as fuzzy mathematics, to
evaluate their feasibility.The case of this study was a
successful pre-sale case in the real market. After the analysis
procedure of the model, we have got the following results: The
conditions of the housing and location in this case was better
than other competent-cases and the total sale rate was over 80%,
the NPV was greater than zero and the IRR was higher than the
rate of the estimated return. Besides, the risk simulation
analysis has shown that the probability of IRR was lower then
the rate of estimate return by only 12%. Ther
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