Life Risk Assessment in Building Fires - A Study of Residential Occupancy

• Main Authors: Lu Ho Shu, 呂和樹
• Other Authors: 林元祥
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2000
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/7yz92x

碩士 === 中央警察大學 === 消防科學研究所 === 88 === Undoubtedly, one of the main purposes of building fire protection is to ensure life safety. If we can examine the affecting factors, which contribute fire risks from real fire cases and propose good solutions, then fire research could move steps ahead and the life losses could be reduced largely. This study focuses on the investigations both from real cases and official reports of building fires. Taipei city, Hsinchu county, Tainan county and Tainan city are assumed to be representative sources of samples, according to geographic distribution of Taiwan area. Contexts of investigations include possible influencing factors regarding occupant characteristics, building occupancy, early detection and response, the severe degree of fire, fire escape and the resulting life losses. Variables of these affecting factors are measured and examined by questionnaire survey as well as official reports. Investigation period is form January 1999 to February 2000. Relationship and test of significant difference between variables or factors, factor development and establishment of predicative models for life losses have been done by employing statistical methods such as t-test, Chi-square test, factor analysis, regression model, logistic regression model and discriminant analysis. The major results of this study include the followings: 1.To understand the fundamental factors (e.g. disable, interior finish, fire egress etc.) those contribute life loss in order to avoid fire tragedies from happening over and over again. 2.To construct predicative models for life losses by taking account occupant characteristics, the internal (within building) and external (outside the building) influencing factors. 3.To establish a valid and reliable Linear Discriminant Function and life risk index to predict life risk for different groups in building fires. 4.To provide a planning for fire brigade to enforce law, educate the public, and design fire prevention activities.