Accuracy Assessment of Test of Goodness-of-fit by Stochastic Simulation

碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 生物環境系統工程學研究所 === 92 === Chi-squared and Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests are two most widely applied methods for goodness-of-fit test. In application of these tests to hydrological frequency analysis, we often encounter the problem of having data with short record length or sample size. Sa...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Chieh-Wei Hsu, 許介維
Other Authors: Ke-Sheng Cheng
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2004
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/31857698106013829729
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Summary:碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 生物環境系統工程學研究所 === 92 === Chi-squared and Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests are two most widely applied methods for goodness-of-fit test. In application of these tests to hydrological frequency analysis, we often encounter the problem of having data with short record length or sample size. Sample size of a random sample affects the accuracies of parameters estimation and goodness-of-fit test. This study, through stochastic simulation of random variables of normal, log-normal, Extreme Value Type I (EV1), Pearson Type III (PT3) and log-Pearson Type III (LPT3) distributions, compares the performance of and K-S tests with respect to type-I-error and power. When population parameters are known, test outperforms the K-S test with very small type-I-error even for sample size as small as 50. When the goodness-of-fit test is conducted with estimated parameters (the null distribution is specified using estimated parameters), it is found that skewness has significant effect on type-I-error of tests. Power of the test is also found to increase with level of significance, sample size and skewness. Keywords: goodness-of-fit test, stochastic simulation, power, type-I-error