Using Importance Sampling and Control Variate in Estimating Network Relibility

碩士 === 國立臺灣科技大學 === 資訊管理系 === 93 === Performace of network with random components is usually difficult to evaluate. Simulation of the stochastic system often becomes the only feasible method to assess the network and quality of the estimator becomes the major concern. Importance sampling is a varia...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Tzu-ming Yang, 楊子民
Other Authors: Wei-ning Yang
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2005
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/47429015496681500114
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立臺灣科技大學 === 資訊管理系 === 93 === Performace of network with random components is usually difficult to evaluate. Simulation of the stochastic system often becomes the only feasible method to assess the network and quality of the estimator becomes the major concern. Importance sampling is a variance reduction technique which reduces the variation of the estimator without increasing the sampling effort. In this study, importance sampling technique is used to alter the sampling scheme of a highly reliable network system to make the rare event of system failure accur more frequently. Then, the state of a key component is used as a control variate to further improve the importance sampling estimator. Simulation experiments are performed to evaluate the performace of the importance estimator and the combined estimator.