高速鐵路對區域發展的影響--以台灣本島生活圈為例

• Main Author: 連浩廷
• Other Authors: 劉小蘭
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2006
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/96839843648359882149

碩士 === 國立政治大學 === 地政研究所 === 94 === The THSR (Taiwan High-Speed Railway) system is about to commence service by the end of 2006, it will not only reduce the travel time to 90 minutes between Taipei and Kaohsiung, but also have impacts on the regional development around the island. However, according to the relative researches, the issue that whether the HSR system improves the equilibrium development among regions or not still lacks consensus. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to discuss this issue, and defines the regional development as the increment of population and labors of each city. This research established a multi-equation model including demography, labor, land use, and transportation, the output were next stage’s population, and manufacturing and service industry labors to evaluate regional development. The results are as follows: 1. the significant factors to the population are manufacturing industry labors, service industry labors, lagged size of habitant area and accessibility. 2. the significant factors to the manufacturing industry labors are lagged manufacturing industry labors and accessibility. 3. the significant factors to the service industry labors are lagged service industry labors, lagged size of commercial area and accessibility. The simulation approach gives the result of the following: five years from now, with the continuous operation of the THSR system, it indeed narrows the development gap among regions in west Taiwan, while the well-developed cities transfer its resources to the less-developed cities. However, the THSR has no influence on the east side of the island. To solve the inequality problem between both sides, it still needs additional efforts from the government.