APPLYING GREY THEORY TO FORECAST SYSTEM FAILURE OF AIR FORCE AIRCRAFT AND RELATION ANALYSIS

碩士 === 南華大學 === 管理科學研究所 === 94 ===   The modern fighters are provided with high-technology, high-price, sophisticated structure and system characteristics as well as the high-quality requirements. The maintaining planning is the crucial factor to affect the availability of the fighters during the se...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Kung-yu Huang, 黃光佑
Other Authors: Li-chih Ying
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2006
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/69495781048439636763
Description
Summary:碩士 === 南華大學 === 管理科學研究所 === 94 ===   The modern fighters are provided with high-technology, high-price, sophisticated structure and system characteristics as well as the high-quality requirements. The maintaining planning is the crucial factor to affect the availability of the fighters during the serving period. Grey Analysis is used to find the regular patterns for the original data. It will build up Grey Forecast Model after processing. Grey Relation Analysis is also used to clear up all factors in each system and look for the best important one toward the target object.     Moreover, the accuracy is more than 95 percent after this analysis. It shows that the GM (1,1) Model is the optimum model for the malfunction predication of fighters. According to the Grey Relation Analysis, two main factors which cause the malfunctions of fighters are as follows: Oxygen System and Lighting System failures. In contrast, the least two factors are Fuel System and Electrical Power System failures. To sum up, to find the future valve and the influential factors of system failure from the demonstration is our purpose and we also expect this study can help the authority to make the right decisions in logistics and maintaining fields.