Seasonal Grey System Theory Model Research in Taiwan Electric Consumption
碩士 === 正修科技大學 === 經營管理研究所 === 95 === Taiwan power supply is behind the growth of the power consumption so that the power consumption may not be satisfied in the near future. How to predict the power consumption preasely is important to plan the power development in the future. The thesis improves th...
Main Authors: | , |
---|---|
Other Authors: | |
Format: | Others |
Language: | zh-TW |
Published: |
2007
|
Online Access: | http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/39224510237109513196 |
id |
ndltd-TW-095CSU00457009 |
---|---|
record_format |
oai_dc |
spelling |
ndltd-TW-095CSU004570092015-10-28T04:07:09Z http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/39224510237109513196 Seasonal Grey System Theory Model Research in Taiwan Electric Consumption 季節性灰色動態參數模型在台灣電力用電量之研究與運用 Pai-chi Wang 王百祺 碩士 正修科技大學 經營管理研究所 95 Taiwan power supply is behind the growth of the power consumption so that the power consumption may not be satisfied in the near future. How to predict the power consumption preasely is important to plan the power development in the future. The thesis improves the Grey System Theory Model proposed by Deng (1982) to develop a Dynamic Grey System Theory Model. The new model is used to predict the power consumption of Taiwan based on the data collected by Taiwan Power Company form 1996 to 2005. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated based on the mean absolute percentage error, and we find that the proposed model improves the performance oof prediction for the power consumption of Taiwan over Grey System Theory Mode. 廖敏治 2007 學位論文 ; thesis 87 zh-TW |
collection |
NDLTD |
language |
zh-TW |
format |
Others
|
sources |
NDLTD |
description |
碩士 === 正修科技大學 === 經營管理研究所 === 95 === Taiwan power supply is behind the growth of the power consumption so that the power consumption may not be satisfied in the near future. How to predict the power consumption preasely is important to plan the power development in the future. The thesis improves the Grey System Theory Model proposed by Deng (1982) to develop a Dynamic Grey System Theory Model. The new model is used to predict the power consumption of Taiwan based on the data collected by Taiwan Power Company form 1996 to 2005. The performance of the proposed model is evaluated based on the mean absolute percentage error, and we find that the proposed model improves the performance oof prediction for the power consumption of Taiwan over Grey System Theory Mode.
|
author2 |
廖敏治 |
author_facet |
廖敏治 Pai-chi Wang 王百祺 |
author |
Pai-chi Wang 王百祺 |
spellingShingle |
Pai-chi Wang 王百祺 Seasonal Grey System Theory Model Research in Taiwan Electric Consumption |
author_sort |
Pai-chi Wang |
title |
Seasonal Grey System Theory Model Research in Taiwan Electric Consumption |
title_short |
Seasonal Grey System Theory Model Research in Taiwan Electric Consumption |
title_full |
Seasonal Grey System Theory Model Research in Taiwan Electric Consumption |
title_fullStr |
Seasonal Grey System Theory Model Research in Taiwan Electric Consumption |
title_full_unstemmed |
Seasonal Grey System Theory Model Research in Taiwan Electric Consumption |
title_sort |
seasonal grey system theory model research in taiwan electric consumption |
publishDate |
2007 |
url |
http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/39224510237109513196 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT paichiwang seasonalgreysystemtheorymodelresearchintaiwanelectricconsumption AT wángbǎiqí seasonalgreysystemtheorymodelresearchintaiwanelectricconsumption AT paichiwang jìjiéxìnghuīsèdòngtàicānshùmóxíngzàitáiwāndiànlìyòngdiànliàngzhīyánjiūyǔyùnyòng AT wángbǎiqí jìjiéxìnghuīsèdòngtàicānshùmóxíngzàitáiwāndiànlìyòngdiànliàngzhīyánjiūyǔyùnyòng |
_version_ |
1718112986241957888 |