A Comparative Study of Manpower Predictions:Application on Supply and Demand of Elementary School Teachers in Taiwan
碩士 === 國立臺北教育大學 === 數學暨資訊教育學系(含數學教育碩士班) === 95 === The goal of this study is to compare several models of manpower prediction for elementary school teachers in Taiwan. The models compared and utilized by this research were statistical regression, grey theory, combination of regression and grey theo...
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| Format: | Others |
| Language: | zh-TW |
| Published: |
2007
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| Online Access: | http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/u77q5y |
| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立臺北教育大學 === 數學暨資訊教育學系(含數學教育碩士班) === 95 === The goal of this study is to compare several models of manpower prediction for elementary school teachers in Taiwan. The models compared and utilized by this research were statistical regression, grey theory, combination of regression and grey theory and traditional models.
We consider recent rapid changes in teacher manpower and the possible variables that influence the demand of elementary school teacher positions in Taiwan. In this research, the models ultimately prophesied a steady decrease in school teacher positions in the future. According to the analyses, grey theory was employed to demonstrate for relatively few data and lower cost. The regression analysis was used to explore the main factors to predict teacher positions. It is expected that the combination of these two models will have the effect of compounding their advantages.
The research will be methodological significance to other industries, and it evaluates the utility of different methods of manpower prediction.
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