| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立政治大學 === 經營管理碩士學程(EMBA) === 96 === The rising up of the emerging markets is an important trend in the developing of economy during this century. In the up surging wave of the emerging markets, Vietnam unceasingly be the cynosure of all eyes . This article organized and analyzed the track of the economic development in Vietnam. Discovered that although it obtained an uncommon achievement under the economical fast growth, Vietnam still encounters four tough issues. (1)infrastructure backwardness, (2)although exportation continues to grow but the trade deficit actually to expand, (3)insufficiency of the foreign reserve and the hot money floods, (4)serious inflation.
The stock market in Vietnam grows very fast, the stock market value accounts for the GDP proportion from under 1% in 2000, grows to over 40% at the end of 2007. However since the market scale is so small, it is easy to have the liquidity problem. The stock price is apt to rise and fall suddenly. It ranked world first in the buoyancy of 2006, It also ranked world No 1 in the downturn of 2008. Vietnam takes an open manner to the foreign capital, it positively encourages the foreign capital to invest in Vietnam. It is also more open up in the stock market comparatively to the other emerging countries, it permits foreign investors to participate directly in the stock market. From the foreign investor's point of view, Vietnam is reputed to be a lowly developed country, be abundant in natural resources as well as young working population, with relatively stable political circumstance in addition to the gaining ground middle class. So it is optimistic to its long-term perspective. But there is deeply anxious about the inflation rate in Vietnam which still stays at a high level recently.
This article also compare and analyze the economy reform and the securities development course of China. It is found that the morass which Vietnam is swamped is very similar to the economic froth occurred in China during 1993. According to the experience in China, it will be able to get rid of this predicament and return to the wide free road of growth if Vietnam can continue to the finance, the exchange rate and the state-owned enterprise reform.
Keywords: Vietnam, Foreign Direct Investment, Foreign Portfolio Investment, Trade deficit , Inflation, Securities
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