Analysis of exchange rates forecasting models

碩士 === 國立政治大學 === 管理碩士學程(AMBA) === 97 === In this research, we review the relevant literatures to discuss the predictability of foreign exchange rates. Besides, we collect literatures to examine the development of the fundamental models, market models, technical analysis and trading rules and compar...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Hsieh, Yao Ching, 謝耀慶
Other Authors: Kuo, Weiyu
Format: Others
Language:en_US
Published: 2009
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/82358925357226698122
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立政治大學 === 管理碩士學程(AMBA) === 97 === In this research, we review the relevant literatures to discuss the predictability of foreign exchange rates. Besides, we collect literatures to examine the development of the fundamental models, market models, technical analysis and trading rules and compare and evaluate the precision of these models. Moreover, we make a case study of a global leading investment bank to discuss how to use these models in practice. The result shows that fundamental models can help to establish the long-term equilibrium but have some shortcomings and thus we could adopt market models to resolve the shortages and the technical analyses and rules to set the exact price levels for trading purposes.