Building and Validating of SMEs financial crisis prediction models
碩士 === 亞洲大學 === 國際企業學系碩士在職專班 === 97 === According to financial and operational characteristics of domestic small and medium enterprises，the main purpose of this thesis is to choice some variables to build and validate of SMEs financial crisis prediction models，thus promoting the development in forec...
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| Other Authors: | |
| Format: | Others |
| Language: | zh-TW |
| Published: |
2009
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| Online Access: | http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/75586810351414639128 |
| Summary: | 碩士 === 亞洲大學 === 國際企業學系碩士在職專班 === 97 === According to financial and operational characteristics of domestic small and medium
enterprises，the main purpose of this thesis is to choice some variables to build and validate of
SMEs financial crisis prediction models，thus promoting the development in forecasting the
financial crisis prediction models in loan to the SMEs for the domestic financial
institutions。Adopting Data from a specific bank concerning its non-performing loan to SMEs
during the period of 2005 to 2006 。There includes 301 defaulting SMEs and 705
non-defaulting SMEs。By Altman (1968) to adopte five financial variables，plus three
additional qualitative measures on management 、perspectives and protection。Then
Logistic model are adopted to determine the most appropriate variables for financial crisis
prediction models of the SMEs in Taiwan。
Empirical evidence shows that better financial crisis prediction models of the SMEs：
Financial variables and non-financial variables selected, that taking into account the
non-financial and qualitative measures in traditional financial crisis prediction model will
increase the forecasting power of the financial crisis prediction for SMEs in Taiwan。
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