Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Improved Grey Prediction Approach

碩士 === 國立臺北科技大學 === 自動化科技研究所 === 99 === Load forecasting is widely used by power utilities to predict the amount of power needed to supply the demand. It is very important for the power system operation. A novel approach based on grey prediction models for short term load forecasting was proposed in...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Sheng-Wen Cheng, 鄭勝文
Other Authors: 陳文輝
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2011
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/3hrr78
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立臺北科技大學 === 自動化科技研究所 === 99 === Load forecasting is widely used by power utilities to predict the amount of power needed to supply the demand. It is very important for the power system operation. A novel approach based on grey prediction models for short term load forecasting was proposed in this thesis. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed approach, an experiment was conducted to make a comparison with some commonly used methods including time series, artificial neural networks, and grey prediction models. Data set used in this experiment was adopted from a practical substation of Taipower. Experimental results showed that the proposed approach is promising as it can improve the prediction accuracy of load forecasting by reducing the errors inherent from original grey prediction models.