A Policy Foresight of Solar Industry in Taiwan: A Combination of Delphi Method and Q Method

• Main Authors: Mei-Chun Chuang, 莊梅君
• Other Authors: Ting-Lin Lee
• Format: Others
• Language: en_US
• Published: 2012
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/20017101860471683381

碩士 === 國立高雄大學 === 亞太工商管理學系碩士班 === 100 === This research aims at investigating the official and stakeholders’ patterns of cognitions toward policy foresight of the solar energy industry in Taiwan by using Delphi survey and Q method. Foresight approaches in Science & Technology policy have been implemented by many countries to search into the developing opportunities and uncertainty in the future. This is one response to the policy priority-setting and resources allocation. Taiwan has well foundation to develop the solar energy industry, and the government also regards it as the main promotion of the emerging energy. However, foresight researches on solar energy industry are insufficient. Hence, this study aims to find out what the solar energy industry will be in the future. Q method, which is helpful for the interviewees to point out the real point of view on the research subject, is often used to explore the multidimensional viewpoint issues. This study makes sense of the types of solar energy industry policy foresight by using Q method that is the combination of questionnaires, interviews, and statistic analyses. Furthermore, for forming the Q statements, this study adopted the Delphi method as a tool to be authorized by the subjects within expertise, and subsequently, the stakeholders’ perceptive types of policy foresight will be sorted out. According to the outcomes of the Q method, the stakeholders’ perceptive types could be divided into four patterns: (1) enhance the industrial developmental environment; (2) create the use of green energy environment; (3) formulate and improve the industrial developmental regulations; (4) enhance the industrial developmental technologies. Besides, the tendency of policies priorities focuses on the electricity infrastructure, grid integration, and drives the domestic demand. This research not only provides multiple prospects of solar energy industry in Taiwan for the next 20 years, but also gives the recommendations for Taiwanese government to cultivate the solar industry.