Fitting Future Research Methodology in Object-Oriented Modeled Foresight Analysis Process

• Main Authors: Shun-Ching Chou, 周舜青
• Other Authors: 薛義誠
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2013
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/59028497493399189257

碩士 === 國立中央大學 === 資訊管理學系 === 101 === In recent years, the development of science and technology accelerates the speed of information transmission among countries, also led to the phenomenon of globalization and internationalization. To face such rapidly changing environment, governments started to work on foresight studies. First, the platform of foresight framework is attempted to be established to help foresight researchers conducting further research. Second, future research methodology was fitted to the analysis stage of the platform. Finally, object-oriented model of the analysis stage of the platform was constructed, so that foresight studies can be systematized and modularized to reduce the implementation complexity. Foresight, future research methodology and strategic planning and related management theories are combined to proposed the platform of foresight framework, which is divided into analysis, planning and evaluation stages. The purpose of the analysis stage is to analyze various future scenarios to provide the planning stage to establish vision and strategic planning, dynamic calibration is used in evaluation stage to verify the consistency of the analysis and planning stages. The specific contribution of the study is constructing the platform of foresight framework; fitting the appropriate future research methodologies to the analysis stage of the platform and establishing the steps of the analysis stage of the platform; creating the pseudo code of the analysis stage of the platform to demonstrate the algorithms and logic of data flow; constructing object-oriented model of the analysis stage of the platform so that foresight studies can be systematized and modularized.