| Summary: | 碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 政治學研究所 === 102 === This paper studies the ten important elections in Taipei City between 1994 to 2012. The elections include five mayoral elections and five Presidential and Vice Presidential elections. The major political parties include Kuomintang (KMT), Democratic Progressive Party (DPP), and the pan-blue political parties that withdraw from the KMT. This paper studied the voting situation of the entire Taipei City and the twelve administrative districts to understand the voting structure of the blue and green political parties in Taipei City.
To investigate and explore further, in addition to conduct quantitative statistical analysis based on the previous election results, the researchers also conducted in-depth interviews on eight categories of issues and perform qualitative analysis. They interviewed seventeen respondents including candidates for mayors, city councilors, senior campaign officers, and political commentators. Then, the researchers conducted a comprehensive integration of quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis to study and analyze the research topics of this paper. The topics include understanding the basic voting potential of the pan-blue supporters and pan-green supporters, the pan-blue split and the effect of using the voting strategy of giving up a rook to save the king, and the problems of voting inclination and differences of the various administrating district voters. This paper conducted a comprehensive and in-depth research on the political party voting structure and voters’ voting behaviors resulted from the Taipei Mayor Election for the past eighteen years.
The results of this paper showed the following conclusions:
1.The Taipei City voting structure showed that pan-blue votes are greater than the KMT votes; the KMT votes are greater than DPP votes.
2.The effect of using the voting strategy of giving up a rook to save the king has gradually been internalized and became the standard rule for the blue political party voters. The examples occurred in the 1998 and 2006 Taipei Mayor elections and 2012 Presidential and Vice Presidential election. Although the blue political party splits, the voters, on their own, used the voting strategy of giving up a rook to save the king. As a result, votes were pulled toward the KMT candidates and the KMT candidates won the elections.
3.The difference in voter’s voting inclinations of the various administrative districts of the Taipei City is related to history and population structure. In general, traditional communities are inclined toward green and emerging communities are inclined toward blue. Thus, the district with the most green supporters is Datong District and the district with the most blue supporters is Wenshan District.
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