Summary: | 碩士 === 國立中央大學 === 企業管理學系 === 103 === With the analysis of the import and export trade data between Taiwan and New Zealand, the present study aims to discuss the effects on the industry and the policies on its trade diversion effect after ANZTEC worked out on Dec., 1st, 2013.
The data resource of the present study is from the Global Trade Atlas, an online trade data system of the world’s merchandise trade statistics. The period of the data selected for the analysis is from Jan., 2008 to Feb., 2015, total 86 months. The data, classified with HS Code, was analyzed via T-Test, Time Series Forecasting, and other methods.
The results showed that after ANZTEC worked out, the film, TV, and music industry were potential but not profitable, the steel industry was greatly beneficial, and finally, the export of other industries such as generally increased but their import of NZ decreased. To conclude, metal product manufacturing (excluding mechanic equipment), food processing industry, and furniture manufacturing were the potential export industries from Taiwan to New Zealand.
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