MRT Demand Prediction through Social Media

• Main Authors: Chuan-Heng Lin, 林泉亨
• Other Authors: Albert Y. Chen
• Format: Others
• Language: en_US
• Published: 2015
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/08325576544480906430

碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 土木工程學研究所 === 103 === With the technological improvements of mobile devices and the increasing number of social media posts, there are more and more data on human mobility based on which information could potentially be extracted. Current research related to social media are mostly focused on inter-person behaviors. Conversely, related topics on system level performances are rarely discussed. This thesis applies feature extraction methods on quantitative, textual, and image data to retrieve useful features from social media. In addition, a machine learning pipeline based on support vector machine, random forest and stochastic gradient boosting is constructed for a short-term transportation demand forecast. Furthermore, real-world datasets from Instagram together with the demand data of the Taipei Metro Rapid Transit system are demonstrated in this work. Validation results show that social media has the potential to enhance the forecasting accuracy.