| Summary: | 碩士 === 長庚大學 === 醫務管理學系 === 104 === Taiwan average life expectancy is rising up; increasing elderly population and declining fertility will lead to changes in demographic and family structures, their living arrangements, care and health care will become an important policy goal. This study seeks to understand the dynamic conversion process when the elderly living arrangement are changing as well as to analyze the impact of the personal qualities of the elderly on changes in their living arrangement. This study used 11 sets of survey data from the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Executive Yuan, R.O.C.(Taiwan) and the Ministry of the Interior, R.O.C. (Taiwan) on the elderly from 1986–2009. The study explores the changes in living arrangement in the elderly with respect to gender, age, and other demographic data based on previous distributions for the living arrangement of the elderly and using the Markov chain model. The optimal model for the conversion of living arrangement in the elderly is further established.
Our results indicate that previous living arrangement is the key factor to the transitions from one living arrangement to the next among the Taiwan elderly. Living with children appears to be the most stable arrangement. With increasing age, the elderly who were living alone and living with spouse only were transferred to living with children. Men who living with others, mostly composed of elderly living in the institutions is majority shifted to living alone, women is majority shifted to living with children. Taiwan fertility continue to decline and unmarried rate rise will directly affect the elderly living arrangements. Elderly who is unmarried and without children can't live with spouse only and children, only transferred to living alone or living with others because of no choice.
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