Spatial Analysis of Korean’s Election: Park Geun-Hye`s Voting Rate of President, 2012

• Main Authors: Hsiang-Wei Liu, 劉湘薇
• Other Authors: Chih-Sung Teng
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2016
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/3pr24c

碩士 === 國立臺灣大學 === 國家發展研究所 === 104 === Park Geun-hye, was elected to be the first female president of Korea in 2012. The voting rate of Park Geun-hye showed a centralized phenomenon in a region after analyzing the standard deviation graph. Such phenomenon was highly related to the continuing of political regionalism in Korea. Thus, this research analyzes the voting rate of Park Geun-hye in the 2012 presidential election by exploiting the spatial analysis method. Based on the elementary local self-government as analytical unit together with the data released by National Election Commission of Korea and Statistics Korea, this research attempt to understand the distribution of spatial voting rate as well as factors affecting the voting rate for Park Geun-hye. Hence, concluding the situation of regionalism in Korea. Research found, through spatial regression model, the main factors affecting the voting rate for Park Geun-hye were due to crude birth rate, population of Catholicism and other regional variable. Meanwhile, there is no direct correlation between the voting rate for Park Geun-hye in regions with more conservative and feminism population. However, regional affect is still a vital factor in Park Geun-hye’s voting rate. Such variable cannot be replaced by any socio-economic background or any other related independent variable. This demonstrates that the collective voting behaviors of voters do not necessarily have similar social-economic status or background; rather, it is due to birth in the region that drove the neighborhood effect.