Calibrating Weather Forecastingby Functional Data Analysis

碩士 === 國立中興大學 === 統計學研究所 === 105 === Recently, weather forecasts become accurate as technology advances. However, high-resolution long-term forecasts are still challenging due to the difficulty of measurement certain atmospheric parameters (e.g. soil moisture) and the limitation of computation resou...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xin-Hua Wang, 汪欣樺
Other Authors: 陳律閎
Format: Others
Language:zh-TW
Published: 2017
Online Access:http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/10048299315896008397
Description
Summary:碩士 === 國立中興大學 === 統計學研究所 === 105 === Recently, weather forecasts become accurate as technology advances. However, high-resolution long-term forecasts are still challenging due to the difficulty of measurement certain atmospheric parameters (e.g. soil moisture) and the limitation of computation resource. In this article we focus on the calibration of longterm weather forecasts by historical weather observations and predictions. The atmospheric parameters are treated as continuous spatial-temporal functions, and function-on-function linear regression models are utilized. Our experiment on temperature data in Taiwan shows that our achieves better calibration results compared to state-of-the art approach.