| Summary: | 碩士 === 開南大學 === 人文社會學院公共管理碩士在職專班 === 106 === The many research literatures which are connected with the young voters are “does not vote” discussion the factors. However, the political situation in Taiwan has been hit by many incidents in recent years and created a phenomenon different from the past. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to explore the change in voting behavior of the Taiwanese young voters.I first uses the thesis of Shih-Peng Liu from the Department of Political Science National Sun Yat-sen University as its research model to construct a voting model for the young voters who are suitable for this study. The data sets of TEDS2012 and TEDS2016, To track the voting behavior of young voters in Taiwan to see if there is any change in the voting intentions of young voters.
In statistical analysis, the first is to use the chi-square test for independent correlation verification to test whether the set of independent and dependent variables show significant differences. Furthermore, a two-stage binomial logistic regression was performed. The binomial logistic regression in the first stage had not yet set the age as a control variable. In the second stage The binomial logistic regression is through age control, to explain the causal relationship between the independent and dependent variables. Finally, the difference between TEDS2012 and TEDS2016 was analyzed to show the changing factors of young voters' voting intentions.
The results of this study show that the age-adjusted binomial logistic regression of the second stage of TEDS2012 shows the frequency of young voters' gender, religious beliefs, provincial origin, party preferences, political knowledge, political interests, and the frequency of watching TV , Candidate's evaluation, civil duty have a significant impact with voting participation . In the binomial logistic regression of the age-controlled for the second stage of TEDS2016, the gender, education, provincial origin, party preference, political knowledge, political interest, frequency of watching TV, the most frequently read newspaper type, civil duty have a significant impact with voting participation.
Therefore, TEDS2012 and TEDS2016 are the most important factors influencing the change of voting intention of young voters in Taiwan, which is contrasted with the result of data analysis. Educational level, party preference and involvement in politics are the three variables.
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