The Study of Correlations between Taiwan\'s Business Cycles and Production Values of Computer Electronic Products Manufacturing Industry

• Main Authors: Tzu-Tung Wen, 温紫彤
• Other Authors: Hsiang-Hsuan Chih
• Format: Others
• Language: zh-TW
• Published: 2019
• Online Access: http://ndltd.ncl.edu.tw/handle/a2s574

碩士 === 國立東華大學 === 管理學院高階經營管理碩士在職專班 === 107 === The research utilizes the index of economic cycle according to four groups of manufacturing production index by 「computer」、「monitor and terminator」、「peripherals」、「mobile phone」 from department of statistic. The benchmark results calculate from January of 1994 to December 2017. In total, 288 months data which shows rise/fall trend between the indexes of economic cycle and the index of stock market. My main research summarize as below. First of all, the manufacture of computer and electronics has a falling trend during the peak of stock, in other words, bull market. Besides, monitor reaches the peak high in the period of bull market. Thus, during the positive economic, there is a high demand of monitor such as television manufacturer, which leads the epic of economic and stock market. Likewise, the manufacture of computer and electronics has a falling trend during the decline stage of stock, in other words, bear market. Apart from mobile phone manufacturer lose the bottom during the collapse economic. Alternatively, during the reduction economic, there is a high demand of mobile phone such as mobile phone manufacturer, which leads economic depreciation and stock market.