Statistical analysis in downscaling climate models : wavelet and Bayesian methods in multimodel ensembles
Various climate models have been developed to analyze and predict climate change; however, model uncertainties cannot be easily overcome. A statistical approach has been presented in this paper to calculate the distributions of future climate change based on an ensemble of the Weather Research and F...
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ndltd-UTEXAS-oai-repositories.lib.utexas.edu-2152-ETD-UT-2009-08-2932015-09-20T16:53:47ZStatistical analysis in downscaling climate models : wavelet and Bayesian methods in multimodel ensemblesCai, YihuaBayesian analysiswavelet analysismultimodel ensemblesVarious climate models have been developed to analyze and predict climate change; however, model uncertainties cannot be easily overcome. A statistical approach has been presented in this paper to calculate the distributions of future climate change based on an ensemble of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) models. Wavelet analysis has been adopted to de-noise the WRF model output. Using the de-noised model output, we carry out Bayesian analysis to decrease uncertainties in model CAM_KF, RRTM_KF and RRTM_GRELL for each downscaling region.text2010-06-04T14:43:16Z2010-06-04T14:43:16Z2009-082010-06-04T14:43:16ZAugust 2009thesisapplication/pdfhttp://hdl.handle.net/2152/ETD-UT-2009-08-293eng |
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English |
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Others
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Bayesian analysis wavelet analysis multimodel ensembles |
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Bayesian analysis wavelet analysis multimodel ensembles Cai, Yihua Statistical analysis in downscaling climate models : wavelet and Bayesian methods in multimodel ensembles |
description |
Various climate models have been developed to analyze and predict climate change; however, model uncertainties cannot be easily overcome. A statistical approach has been presented in this paper to calculate the distributions of future climate change based on an ensemble of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) models. Wavelet analysis has been adopted to de-noise the WRF model output. Using the de-noised model output, we carry out Bayesian analysis to decrease uncertainties in model CAM_KF, RRTM_KF and RRTM_GRELL for each downscaling region. === text |
author |
Cai, Yihua |
author_facet |
Cai, Yihua |
author_sort |
Cai, Yihua |
title |
Statistical analysis in downscaling climate models : wavelet and Bayesian methods in multimodel ensembles |
title_short |
Statistical analysis in downscaling climate models : wavelet and Bayesian methods in multimodel ensembles |
title_full |
Statistical analysis in downscaling climate models : wavelet and Bayesian methods in multimodel ensembles |
title_fullStr |
Statistical analysis in downscaling climate models : wavelet and Bayesian methods in multimodel ensembles |
title_full_unstemmed |
Statistical analysis in downscaling climate models : wavelet and Bayesian methods in multimodel ensembles |
title_sort |
statistical analysis in downscaling climate models : wavelet and bayesian methods in multimodel ensembles |
publishDate |
2010 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/2152/ETD-UT-2009-08-293 |
work_keys_str_mv |
AT caiyihua statisticalanalysisindownscalingclimatemodelswaveletandbayesianmethodsinmultimodelensembles |
_version_ |
1716820833525039104 |